Xcel Brands Stock Analysis

XELB Stock  USD 0.68  0.02  2.86%   
Xcel Brands is undervalued with Real Value of 1.78 and Target Price of 5.0. The main objective of Xcel Brands stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Xcel Brands is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Xcel Brands' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Xcel Brands' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Xcel Brands' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Xcel Brands stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Xcel Brands is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Xcel Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Xcel Brands' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xcel Brands. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For information on how to trade Xcel Stock refer to our How to Trade Xcel Stock guide.

Xcel Stock Analysis Notes

About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Xcel Brands has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.74. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.07. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Xcel Brands had 31:16137 split on the 29th of September 2011. Xcel Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and consumer products company in the United States. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York. XCEL Brands operates under Apparel Manufacturing classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 84 people. For more information please call Robert DLoren at 347 727 2474 or visit https://xcelbrands.co.

Xcel Brands Quarterly Total Revenue

2.29 Million

Xcel Brands Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Xcel Brands' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Xcel Brands or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Xcel Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Xcel Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Xcel Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Xcel Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.8 M.
Xcel Brands currently holds about 10.87 M in cash with (6.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.55.
Xcel Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Home Collectible Brand Longaberger Weaves Two Iconic American Brands Together with its Newest Crayola Collaboration

Xcel Brands Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Xcel Brands to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Xcel Brands previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
15th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
16th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of April 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Xcel Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Xcel Brands' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-08-08
2019-06-300.060.05-0.0116 
2017-11-09
2017-09-300.10.09-0.0110 
2017-08-09
2017-06-300.090.08-0.0111 
View All Earnings Estimates

Xcel Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Xcel Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xcel Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Xcel Brands' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Xcel Brands' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Regent Peak Wealth Advisors Llc2023-12-31
15 K
Jb Capital Partners Lp2023-12-31
15 K
Virtu Financial Llc2023-12-31
13.9 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2023-12-31
2.5 K
Coppell Advisory Solutions Llc2023-12-31
124
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
67.0
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
17.0
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
13.0
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Summit Trail Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
1.7 M
Potomac Capital Management, Inc.2023-12-31
779.5 K
Note, although Xcel Brands' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Xcel Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 16.68 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Xcel Brands's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Xcel Brands's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Xcel Profitablity

Xcel Brands' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Xcel Brands' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Xcel Brands is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Xcel Brands' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Xcel Brands' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Xcel Brands' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.19) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (2.24) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $2.24.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.63)(0.66)
Return On Capital Employed(0.28)(0.27)
Return On Assets(0.28)(0.30)
Return On Equity(0.42)(0.44)

Management Efficiency

Xcel Brands has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1509) % which means that it has lost $0.1509 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.3759) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Xcel Brands' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Xcel Brands manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of April 25, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.66. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.27. At present, Xcel Brands' Total Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 633.5 K, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 69.9 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.54  2.41 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.34  0.35 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(2.63)(2.50)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.51  0.53 
Enterprise Value Multiple(2.63)(2.50)
Price Fair Value 0.51  0.53 
Enterprise Value32.4 M25.4 M
The analysis of Xcel Brands' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Xcel Brands' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Xcel Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.481

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of April, Xcel Brands maintains the Standard Deviation of 5.17, mean deviation of 3.46, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 58.18. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Xcel Brands, as well as the relationship between them. Specifically, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past data patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate thirteen technical drivers for Xcel Brands, which can be compared to its peers. Please check out Xcel Brands standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and potential upside to decide if Xcel Brands is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 0.68 per share. As Xcel Brands is a penny stock we also advise to confirm its jensen alpha numbers.

Xcel Brands Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was four with a total number of output elements of fifty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Xcel Brands middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Xcel Brands. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Xcel Brands Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Xcel Brands insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Xcel Brands' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Xcel Brands insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Xcel Brands Predictive Daily Indicators

Xcel Brands intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Xcel Brands stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Xcel Brands Forecast Models

Xcel Brands' time-series forecasting models are one of many Xcel Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Xcel Brands' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Xcel Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Xcel Brands prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Xcel shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Xcel Brands. By using and applying Xcel Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Xcel entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(1.18)(1.12)
Operating Profit Margin(1.09)(1.14)
Net Loss(1.19)(1.24)
Gross Profit Margin(0.33)(0.32)

Current Xcel Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Xcel analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Xcel analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
5.0Strong Buy1Odds
Xcel Brands current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Xcel analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Xcel stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Xcel Brands, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Xcel conference calls.
Xcel Analyst Advice Details

Xcel Stock Analysis Indicators

Xcel Brands stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Xcel Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Xcel Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Xcel Brands stock analysis, traders can identify Xcel Brands position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow4.6 M
Long Term DebtM
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity50 M
Tax Provision-2.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.1 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
CashM
Accounts Payable2.1 M
Net DebtM
50 Day M A0.8736
Total Current Liabilities6.5 M
Other Operating Expenses37 M
Non Current Assets Total67.6 M
Non Currrent Assets Other15 K
Stock Based Compensation242 K
When determining whether Xcel Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Xcel Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xcel Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xcel Brands Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xcel Brands. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For information on how to trade Xcel Stock refer to our How to Trade Xcel Stock guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Xcel Stock analysis

When running Xcel Brands' price analysis, check to measure Xcel Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xcel Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Xcel Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xcel Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xcel Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xcel Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xcel Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Brands. If investors know Xcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xcel Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.07)
Revenue Per Share
0.901
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.44)
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(0.38)
The market value of Xcel Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xcel Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xcel Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xcel Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xcel Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xcel Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.