Xponential Fitness Stock Analysis

XPOF Stock  USD 13.11  0.07  0.53%   
Xponential Fitness is undervalued with Real Value of 17.63 and Target Price of 33.69. The main objective of Xponential Fitness stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Xponential Fitness is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Xponential Fitness' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Xponential Fitness' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Xponential Fitness' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Xponential Fitness stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Xponential Fitness is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Xponential Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Xponential Fitness' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xponential Fitness. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.

Xponential Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. Xponential Fitness recorded a loss per share of 0.44. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness franchisor in the United States and internationally. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. Xponential Fitness operates under Leisure classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 232 people. For more information please call Anthony Geisler at 949 346 3000 or visit https://www.xponential.com.

Xponential Fitness Quarterly Total Revenue

90.19 Million

Xponential Fitness Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Xponential Fitness' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Xponential Fitness or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Xponential Fitness had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Xponential Fitness has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 403.27 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Xponential Fitness has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Xponential Fitness until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Xponential Fitness' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Xponential Fitness sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Xponential to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Xponential Fitness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 318.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162 M.
Xponential Fitness has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of Xponential Fitness outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: The Return Trends At Xponential Fitness Look Promising

Xponential Fitness Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Xponential Fitness to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Xponential Fitness previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
7th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
7th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Xponential Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Xponential Fitness' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-11-07
2023-09-300.150.11-0.0426 
2024-02-29
2023-12-310.150.08-0.0746 
2023-08-03
2023-06-300.140.07-0.0750 
View All Earnings Estimates

Xponential Fitness Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Xponential Fitness stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Health Management Idea
Health Management
Healthcare providers, hospitals
Recreation Idea
Recreation
USA Equities from Recreation industry as classified by Fama & French
Entertainment Idea
Entertainment
USA Equities from Entertainment industry as classified by Fama & French

Xponential Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Xponential Fitness is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xponential Fitness backward and forwards among themselves. Xponential Fitness' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Xponential Fitness' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
514.2 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
440 K
Woodline Partners Lp2023-12-31
422.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
399.6 K
Wasatch Advisors Inc.2023-12-31
327.7 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
299.4 K
Landscape Capital Management,llc2023-12-31
245 K
Kent Lake Capital Llc2023-12-31
234.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
228 K
Voss Capital Llc2023-12-31
2.3 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
1.9 M
Note, although Xponential Fitness' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Xponential Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 625.91 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Xponential Fitness's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Xponential Fitness's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Xponential Profitablity

Xponential Fitness' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Xponential Fitness' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Xponential Fitness is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Xponential Fitness' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Xponential Fitness' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Xponential Fitness' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.07)(0.08)
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.14 
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity 1.65  1.73 

Management Efficiency

Xponential Fitness has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0559 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0559 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.2884) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Xponential Fitness' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Xponential Fitness manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Xponential Fitness' Return On Capital Employed is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Xponential Fitness' current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 1.73, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to (0.08). At this time, Xponential Fitness' Intangibles To Total Assets are most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(0.33)(0.35)
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(11.97)(12.57)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 8.72  8.29 
Price Book Value Ratio(38.65)(36.71)
Enterprise Value Multiple 8.72  8.29 
Price Fair Value(38.65)(36.71)
Enterprise Value539.2 M479.3 M
The analysis of Xponential Fitness' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Xponential Fitness' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Xponential Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.095

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of April 2024, Xponential Fitness maintains the Downside Deviation of 3.81, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0995, and Mean Deviation of 3.33. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Xponential Fitness, as well as the relationship between them. Specifically, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past data patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Xponential Fitness, which can be compared to its peers. Please check out Xponential Fitness information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to decide if Xponential Fitness is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 13.11 per share. Given that Xponential Fitness has jensen alpha of 0.1405, we strongly advise you to confirm Xponential Fitness's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Xponential Fitness Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Xponential Fitness middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Xponential Fitness. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Xponential Fitness Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Xponential Fitness insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Xponential Fitness' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Xponential Fitness insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Xponential Fitness Predictive Daily Indicators

Xponential Fitness intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Xponential Fitness stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Xponential Fitness Corporate Filings

8K
11th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
7th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
4th of March 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
F4
1st of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
29th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
27th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
23rd of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
14th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Xponential Fitness Forecast Models

Xponential Fitness' time-series forecasting models are one of many Xponential Fitness' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Xponential Fitness' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Xponential Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Xponential Fitness prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Xponential shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Xponential Fitness. By using and applying Xponential Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Xponential entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0)(0)
Operating Profit Margin 0.19  0.19 
Net Loss(0.05)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.72  0.50 

Current Xponential Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Xponential analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Xponential analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
33.69Strong Buy13Odds
Xponential Fitness current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Xponential analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Xponential stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Xponential Fitness, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Xponential conference calls.
Xponential Analyst Advice Details

Xponential Stock Analysis Indicators

Xponential Fitness stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Xponential Fitness stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Xponential Fitness shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Xponential Fitness stock analysis, traders can identify Xponential Fitness position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow37.4 M
Long Term Debt319.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.7 M
Total Stockholder Equity-10.6 M
Tax Provision896 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.817
Property Plant And Equipment Net90.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37.1 M
Cash37.1 M
Accounts Payable19.1 M
Net Debt366.2 M
50 Day M A13.2304
Total Current Liabilities92.3 M
Other Operating Expenses259.7 M
Non Current Assets Total438.1 M
Forward Price Earnings13.9665
Non Currrent Assets Other56.7 M
Stock Based Compensation18 M
When determining whether Xponential Fitness is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xponential Fitness' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xponential Fitness' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xponential Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xponential Fitness. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more detail on how to invest in Xponential Stock please use our How to Invest in Xponential Fitness guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Xponential Fitness' price analysis, check to measure Xponential Fitness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xponential Fitness is operating at the current time. Most of Xponential Fitness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xponential Fitness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xponential Fitness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xponential Fitness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xponential Fitness' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xponential Fitness. If investors know Xponential will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xponential Fitness listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(0.44)
Revenue Per Share
10.039
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.266
Return On Assets
0.0559
The market value of Xponential Fitness is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xponential that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xponential Fitness' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xponential Fitness' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xponential Fitness' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xponential Fitness' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xponential Fitness' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xponential Fitness is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xponential Fitness' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.