AGARIND -  India Stock  

INR 328.30  23.20  6.60%

AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL is trading at 328.30 as of the 20th of October 2021, a -6.6% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 325.85. AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL has less than a 10 % chance of experiencing some financial distress in the next two years of operation, but has generated negative returns over the last 90 days. Equity ratings for AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 30th of November 2019 and ending today, the 20th of October 2021. Click here to learn more.
 Market Performance
0 of 100
  Odds Of Distress
Less than 10
Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited primarily manufactures and trades in petrochemicals in India. Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India. AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL operates under Specialty Chemicals classification in India and is traded on National Stock Exchange of India.. The company has 11.85 M outstanding shares. More on AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL
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Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. If you consider yourself one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand your entering position. AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 21st of September 2021 AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL paid 1.8 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Macroaxis Advice
Unlike general analyst consensus, Macroaxis buy hold or sell recommendation is provided in the context of your current investment horizon and risk tolerance. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators. Your current horizon is 90 days - details
Strong SellOvervalued
AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL (AGARIND) is traded on National Stock Exchange of India in India and employs 45 people. The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 3.89 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities. AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL operates under Basic Materials sector and is part of Specialty Chemicals industry. The entity has 11.85 M outstanding shares. AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL has accumulated about 414.16 M in cash with 451.95 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 40.37.
Check AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL Probability Of Bankruptcy
AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL shows a total of 11.85 Million outstanding shares. AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL shows serious amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.

Ownership Allocation (%)

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AGARWAL Stock Price Odds Analysis

What are AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's target price odds to finish over the current price? Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.77%. The AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL probability density function shows the probability of AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL has a beta of -0.4371. This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, the company has an alpha of 0.0449, implying that it can generate a 0.0449 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Odds Down 328.3HorizonTargetOdds Up 328.3 
41.06%90 days
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.77 (This AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL probability density function shows the probability of AGARWAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .


Investors will always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment while minimizing volatility. AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Although AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's performance over the market, the standard measures of volatility play an important role as well.

AGARWAL Stock Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL stock is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL stock price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL at a given time.

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Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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When running AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL price analysis, check to measure AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL is operating at the current time. Most of AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGARWAL INDUSTRIAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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