Microsoft Stock Statistic Functions Time Series Forecast

MSFT Stock  USD 404.27  7.57  1.84%   
Microsoft statistic functions tool provides the execution environment for running the Time Series Forecast function and other technical functions against Microsoft. Microsoft value trend is the prevailing direction of the price over some defined period of time. The concept of trend is an important idea in technical analysis, including the analysis of statistic functions indicators. As with most other technical indicators, the Time Series Forecast function function is designed to identify and follow existing trends. Microsoft statistical functions help analysts to determine different price movement patterns based on how price series statistical indicators change over time. Please specify Time Period to run this model.

Execute Function
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Time Series Forecast uses simple linear regression to derive Microsoft best fit line over a given time period and plot it forward over user-defined time period.

Microsoft Technical Analysis Modules

Most technical analysis of Microsoft help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microsoft from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Microsoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Microsoft Predictive Technical Analysis

Predictive technical analysis modules help investors to analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Microsoft. We use our internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microsoft based on widely used predictive technical indicators. In general, we focus on analyzing Microsoft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Microsoft's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers, such as statistic functions and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Microsoft's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Microsoft, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Microsoft price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.009420.0078090.0070280.006676
Price To Sales Ratio9.7111.9713.768.75
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Microsoft's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
403.01404.25405.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
399.27400.51444.70
Details
57 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
357.03392.34435.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.612.652.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Microsoft. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Microsoft's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Microsoft's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Microsoft.

Microsoft Implied Volatility

    
  35.64  
Microsoft's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Microsoft stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Microsoft's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Microsoft stock will not fluctuate a lot when Microsoft's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Microsoft in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Microsoft's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Microsoft options trading.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Baby Boomer Prospects Idea
Baby Boomer Prospects
Invested over 70 shares
Manufacturing Idea
Manufacturing
Invested over 40 shares
Momentum Idea
Momentum
Invested over 200 shares
Banking Idea
Banking
Invested over 30 shares
Social Domain Idea
Social Domain
Invested few shares
When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
Note that the Microsoft information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Microsoft's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Microsoft Stock analysis

When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Microsoft's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. If investors know Microsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.332
Dividend Share
2.86
Earnings Share
11.07
Revenue Per Share
30.612
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.176
The market value of Microsoft is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microsoft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microsoft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Microsoft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microsoft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.