Amazon Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

AMZN
 Stock
  

USD 113.00  1.80  1.57%   

The prevalent analyst and expert consensus on Amazon is Buy with 27 strong buy estimates. The prevailing projected target price is 4157.79 with 34 professional opinions. Some of the most common ways Amazon Inc analysts use to provide public buy-or-sell recommendation are financial statements evaluation and conference calls analysis. They also talk to Amazon executives, vendors, and customers. Amazon buy-or-sell recommendation and consensus module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Amazon Inc target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price volatility of 281.549. Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on Amazon to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  

Amazon Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Amazon target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Amazon target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions31
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Amazon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Amazon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Amazon Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Amazon Target Price Projection

Amazon's current and average target prices are 113.00 and 4,158, respectively. The current price of Amazon is the price at which Amazon Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, Amazon's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Amazon Market Quote on 2nd of October 2022

Low Price112.84Odds
High Price116.92Odds

113.0

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Amazon Target Price

Low Estimate3800.0Odds
High Estimate5000.0Odds
Number of Analysts34
Standard Deviation281.549

4157.794

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Amazon Inc and the information provided on this page.

Amazon Analyst Ratings

Amazon's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Amazon stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Amazon's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Amazon's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Amazon Target Price Projections

Amazon's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Amazon Inc and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Amazon depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Amazon Inc including analysis of its current option contracts.
Amazon's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-10-07 are carrying combined implied volatility of 52.49 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.88 over 164 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-10-07. The current put volume is at 104783, with calls trading at the volume of 98727. This yields a 1.06 put-to-call volume ratio. The Amazon option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Amazon Inc option contracts. It shows all of Amazon's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-10-07 Option Contracts

Amazon option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Amazon's lending market. For example, when Amazon's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Amazon, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Amazon stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Amazon's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Amazon's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Amazon's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Amazon Maximum Pain Price across 2022-10-07 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Amazon close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Amazon's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Amazon Inc common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Amazon stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Amazon's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on Amazon to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Amazon Inc In The Money Call Balance

When Amazon's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Amazon Inc stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Amazon's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Amazon Inc are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Amazon Current Options Market Mood

Amazon's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Amazon Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Amazon's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Amazon's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Amazon's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Amazon Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Amazon is a key component of Amazon valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Amazon.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amazon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Amazon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
110.22112.92115.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
101.701,1311,134
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
103.32106.02108.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
111.47126.59141.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amazon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Amazon Inc.

Additional Amazon Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Amazon is a key component of Amazon valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Amazon.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amazon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Amazon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
110.22112.92115.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
101.701,1311,134
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
103.32106.02108.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
111.47126.59141.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amazon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Amazon Inc.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Management
Invested over 90 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 90 shares
Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on Amazon to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Amazon Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amazon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for Amazon Stock analysis

When running Amazon Inc price analysis, check to measure Amazon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amazon is operating at the current time. Most of Amazon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amazon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amazon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amazon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Amazon's official financial statements usually reflect Amazon's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Amazon Inc. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Amazon accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Amazon's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Amazon's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Amazon's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Amazon's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Amazon Inc. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Amazon's management to manipulate its earnings.