Alibaba Group Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

BABA -  USA Stock  

USD 196.01  9.94  5.34%

The prevalent analyst and expert consensus on Alibaba Group is Buy with 16 strong buy estimates. The prevailing projected target price is 308.0 with 18 professional opinions. Some of the most common ways Alibaba Group Holding analysts use to provide public buy-or-sell recommendation are financial statements evaluation and conference calls analysis. They also talk to Alibaba Group executives, vendors, and customers. Alibaba Group buy-or-sell recommendation and consensus module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Alibaba Group Holding target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price volatility of 35.566. Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Alibaba Group to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

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The current year Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 319.5 B. The current year Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.25. Alibaba Group Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Total Assets were at 1.69 Trillion. The current year Current Assets is expected to grow to about 694.2 B, whereas Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is forecasted to decline to (19.6 B).

Alibaba Group Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alibaba target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alibaba target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions17
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Alibaba analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alibaba stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alibaba Group Holding, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Alibaba Group Target Price Projection

Alibaba Group's current and average target prices are 196.01 and 308.00, respectively. The current price of Alibaba Group is the price at which Alibaba Group Holding is currently trading. On the other hand, Alibaba Group's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Alibaba Group Market Quote on 29th of July 2021

Low Price189.76Odds
High Price198.0Odds

196.01

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Alibaba Group Target Price

Low Estimate270.0Odds
High Estimate407.0Odds
Number of Analysts18
Standard Deviation35.566

308.0

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Alibaba Group Holding and the information provided on this page.

Alibaba Group Analyst Ratings

Alibaba Group's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Alibaba Group stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Alibaba Group's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Alibaba Group's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Alibaba Group Target Price Projections

Alibaba Group's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Alibaba Group Holding and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Alibaba depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Alibaba Group Holding
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Earnings per Basic Share33.9256.855.659.99
EBITDA Margin0.330.340.260.31

Additional Alibaba Group Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Alibaba Group is a key component of Alibaba Group valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Alibaba Group.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alibaba Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Alibaba Group in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
193.68195.77197.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
176.41240.92243.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
186.73188.82190.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.417.398.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alibaba Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alibaba Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alibaba Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Alibaba Group Holding.

Currently Trending Themes

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Macroaxis Index
Invested over 100 shares
Software
Invested a lot of shares
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Alibaba Group to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Alibaba Group Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alibaba Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Alibaba Stock analysis

When running Alibaba Group Holding price analysis, check to measure Alibaba Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alibaba Group is operating at the current time. Most of Alibaba Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alibaba Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alibaba Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alibaba Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Alibaba Group's official financial statements usually reflect Alibaba Group's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Alibaba Group Holding. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Alibaba accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Alibaba Group's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Alibaba Group's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Alibaba Group's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Alibaba Group's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Alibaba Group Holding. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Alibaba Group's management to manipulate its earnings.