Netflix Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

NFLX -  USA Stock  

USD 191.40  3.57  1.90%

The prevalent analyst and expert consensus on Netflix is Buy with 20 strong buy estimates. The prevailing projected target price is 668.09 with 32 professional opinions. Some of the most common ways Netflix analysts use to provide public buy-or-sell recommendation are financial statements evaluation and conference calls analysis. They also talk to Netflix executives, vendors, and customers. Netflix buy-or-sell recommendation and consensus module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Netflix target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price volatility of 147.84. Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Netflix to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Netflix Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Netflix target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Netflix target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions28
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Netflix analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Netflix stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Netflix, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Netflix Target Price Projection

Netflix's current and average target prices are 191.40 and 668.09, respectively. The current price of Netflix is the price at which Netflix is currently trading. On the other hand, Netflix's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Netflix Market Quote on 27th of May 2022

Low Price183.09Odds
High Price192.34Odds

191.4

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Netflix Target Price

Low Estimate340.0Odds
High Estimate1154.0Odds
Number of Analysts32
Standard Deviation147.84

668.093

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Netflix and the information provided on this page.

Netflix Analyst Ratings

Netflix's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Netflix stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Netflix's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Netflix's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Netflix Target Price Projections

Netflix's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Netflix and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Netflix depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Netflix including analysis of its current option contracts.
Netflix's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-05-27 are carrying combined implied volatility of 75.61 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.69 over 226 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-05-27. The current put volume is at 15368, with calls trading at the volume of 24999. This yields a 0.61 put-to-call volume ratio. The Netflix option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Netflix option contracts. It shows all of Netflix's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-05-27 Option Contracts

Netflix option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Netflix's lending market. For example, when Netflix's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Netflix, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Netflix stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Netflix's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Netflix's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Netflix's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Netflix Maximum Pain Price across 2022-05-27 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Netflix close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Netflix's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Netflix common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Netflix stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Netflix's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Netflix to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Netflix In The Money Call Balance

When Netflix's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Netflix stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Netflix's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Netflix are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Netflix Current Options Market Mood

Netflix's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Netflix Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Netflix's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Netflix's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Netflix's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Netflix Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Netflix is a key component of Netflix valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Netflix.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Netflix's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Netflix in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
181.55187.07192.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
172.26306.27311.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
170.86176.38181.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (16)
LowProjected EPSHigh
10.5310.7010.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Netflix. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Netflix's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Netflix's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Netflix.

Additional Netflix Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Netflix is a key component of Netflix valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Netflix.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Netflix's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Netflix in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
181.55187.07192.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
172.26306.27311.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
170.86176.38181.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (16)
LowProjected EPSHigh
10.5310.7010.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Netflix. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Netflix's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Netflix's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Netflix.

Currently Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 90 shares
Software
Invested few shares
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Netflix to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Netflix information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Netflix's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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The data published in Netflix's official financial statements usually reflect Netflix's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Netflix. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Netflix accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Netflix's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Communication Services space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Netflix's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Netflix's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Netflix's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Netflix. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Netflix's management to manipulate its earnings.