Nio Inc Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

NIO -  USA Stock  

USD 27.35  2.48  9.97%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Nio Inc is Buy, with 0 strong sell and 5 strong buy opinions. The current projected Nio Inc target price consensus is 62.7 with 8 analyst opinions. The most common way Nio Inc ADR analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Nio Inc executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Nio Inc. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Nio Inc ADR to validate this buy or sell advice. Nio Inc buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Nio Inc ADR target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 10.526. Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Nio Inc to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Nio Inc Analyst Recommendations 

 
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Nio Inc Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Nio Inc target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Nio Inc target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions7
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Nio Inc analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Nio Inc stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Nio Inc ADR, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Nio Inc Target Price Projection

Nio Inc's current and average target prices are 27.35 and 62.70, respectively. The current price of Nio Inc is the price at which Nio Inc ADR is currently trading. On the other hand, Nio Inc's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Nio Inc Market Quote on 25th of January 2022

Low Price27.23Odds
High Price28.99Odds

27.35

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Nio Inc Target Price

Low Estimate45.0Odds
High Estimate80.3Odds
Number of Analysts8
Standard Deviation10.526

62.7

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Nio Inc ADR and the information provided on this page.

Nio Inc Analyst Ratings

Nio Inc's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Nio Inc stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Nio Inc's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Nio Inc's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Nio Inc Target Price Projections

Nio Inc's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Nio Inc ADR and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Nio Inc depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Nio Inc ADR including analysis of its current option contracts.
Nio Inc's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-01-28 are carrying combined implied volatility of 127.48 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.33 over 58 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-01-28. The current put volume is at 29329, with calls trading at the volume of 51978. This yields a 0.56 put-to-call volume ratio. The Nio Inc option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Nio Inc ADR option contracts. It shows all of Nio Inc's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-01-28 Option Contracts

Nio Inc option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Nio Inc's lending market. For example, when Nio Inc's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Nio Inc, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Nio Inc stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Nio Inc's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Nio Inc's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Nio Inc's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Nio Inc Maximum Pain Price across 2022-01-28 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Nio Inc close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Nio Inc's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Nio Inc ADR common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Nio Inc stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Nio Inc's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Nio Inc to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Nio Inc ADR In The Money Call Balance

When Nio Inc's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Nio Inc ADR stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Nio Inc's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Nio Inc ADR are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Nio Inc Current Options Market Mood

Nio Inc's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Nio Inc Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Nio Inc's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Nio Inc's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Nio Inc's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Nio Inc Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Nio Inc is a key component of Nio Inc valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Nio Inc.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nio Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nio Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
20.2624.6028.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.3834.2138.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.3323.6628.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.83-0.79-0.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nio Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nio Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nio Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nio Inc ADR.

Additional Nio Inc Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Nio Inc is a key component of Nio Inc valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Nio Inc.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nio Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nio Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
20.2624.6028.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.3834.2138.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.3323.6628.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.83-0.79-0.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nio Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nio Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nio Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nio Inc ADR.

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Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Nio Inc to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Nio Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nio Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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The data published in Nio Inc's official financial statements usually reflect Nio Inc's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Nio Inc ADR. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Nio Inc accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Nio Inc's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Nio Inc's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Nio Inc's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Nio Inc's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Nio Inc ADR. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Nio Inc's management to manipulate its earnings.