Select Medical Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

SEM -  USA Stock  

USD 22.86  0.64  2.72%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Select Medical is Strong Buy, with 0 strong sell and 3 strong buy opinions. The current projected Select Medical target price consensus is 46.0 with 3 analyst opinions. The most common way Select Medical Holdings analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Select Medical executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Please note, the number of analysts providing the opinion is not sufficient to provide adequate consensus on Select Medical. We encourage you to use your own analysis of Select Medical Holdings to validate this buy or sell advice. Select Medical buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Select Medical Holdings target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 5.291. Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Select Medical to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Select Analyst Recommendations 

 
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The value of Gross Profit is estimated to pull down to about 485.8 M. The value of Profit Margin is estimated to pull down to 4.95. Select Medical Current Liabilities is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Current Liabilities is estimated at 1.4 Billion. Tax Liabilities is expected to hike to about 216.4 M this year, although the value of Accounts Payable will most likely fall to nearly 142.4 M.

Select Medical Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Select target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Select target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions3
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Strong Buy
Most Select analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Select stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Select Medical Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Select Medical Target Price Projection

Select Medical's current and average target prices are 22.86 and 46.00, respectively. The current price of Select Medical is the price at which Select Medical Holdings is currently trading. On the other hand, Select Medical's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Select Medical Market Quote on 24th of January 2022

Low Price22.77Odds
High Price23.59Odds

22.86

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Select Medical Target Price

Low Estimate40.0Odds
High Estimate50.0Odds
Number of Analysts3
Standard Deviation5.291

46.0

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Select Medical Holdings and the information provided on this page.

Select Medical Analyst Ratings

Select Medical's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Select Medical stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Select Medical's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Select Medical's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Select Medical Target Price Projections

Select Medical's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Select Medical Holdings and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Select depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Select Medical Holdings including analysis of its current option contracts.
Select Medical's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-02-18 are carrying combined implied volatility of 57.87 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 14.71 over 16 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more puts than calls on contracts expiring on 2022-02-18. The current put volume is at 75, with calls trading at the volume of 2. This yields a 37.5 put-to-call volume ratio. The Select Medical option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Select Medical Holdings option contracts. It shows all of Select Medical's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-02-18 Option Contracts

Select Medical option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Select Medical's lending market. For example, when Select Medical's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Select Medical, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Select Medical stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Select Medical's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Select Medical's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Select Medical's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Select Medical Maximum Pain Price across 2022-02-18 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Select Medical close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Select Medical's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Select Medical Holdings common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Select stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Select Medical's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Select Medical to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Select Medical Holdings In The Money Call Balance

When Select Medical's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Select Medical Holdings stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Select Medical's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Select Medical Holdings are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Select Current Options Market Mood

Select Medical's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Select Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Select Medical's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Select Medical's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Select Medical's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Select Medical Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Select Medical is a key component of Select Medical valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Select Medical.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Select Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Select Medical in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
20.3223.2326.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
20.5728.2431.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.3421.2524.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.033.053.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Select Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Select Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Select Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Select Medical Holdings.

Additional Select Medical Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Select Medical is a key component of Select Medical valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Select Medical.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Select Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Select Medical in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
20.3223.2326.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
20.5728.2431.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.3421.2524.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.033.053.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Select Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Select Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Select Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Select Medical Holdings.

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Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Select Medical to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Select Medical Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Select Medical's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Select Medical Holdings price analysis, check to measure Select Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Select Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Select Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Select Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Select Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Select Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Select Medical's official financial statements usually reflect Select Medical's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Select Medical Holdings. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Select accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Select Medical's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Healthcare space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Select Medical's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Select Medical's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Select Medical's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Select Medical Holdings. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Select Medical's management to manipulate its earnings.