Constellation Brands Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

STZ -  USA Stock  

USD 248.92  3.70  1.51%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Constellation Brands is Buy, with 0 strong sell and 9 strong buy opinions. The current projected Constellation Brands target price consensus is 260.33 with 15 analyst opinions. The most common way Constellation Brands analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Constellation Brands executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Constellation Brands buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Constellation Brands target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 57.632. Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Constellation Brands to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Constellation Brands Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Constellation target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Constellation target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions12
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Constellation analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Constellation stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Constellation Brands, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Constellation Brands Target Price Projection

Constellation Brands' current and average target prices are 248.92 and 260.33, respectively. The current price of Constellation Brands is the price at which Constellation Brands is currently trading. On the other hand, Constellation Brands' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Constellation Brands Market Quote on 16th of May 2022

Low Price244.08Odds
High Price250.41Odds

248.92

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Constellation Brands Target Price

Low Estimate80.0Odds
High Estimate310.0Odds
Number of Analysts15
Standard Deviation57.632

260.333

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Constellation Brands and the information provided on this page.

Constellation Brands Analyst Ratings

Constellation Brands' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Constellation Brands stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Constellation Brands' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Constellation Brands' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Constellation Brands Target Price Projections

Constellation Brands's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Constellation Brands and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Constellation depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Constellation Brands including analysis of its current option contracts.
Constellation Brands' latest option contracts expiring on 2022-05-20 are carrying combined implied volatility of 31.95 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 1.25 over 112 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying more puts than calls on contracts expiring on 2022-05-20. The current put volume is at 226, with calls trading at the volume of 276. This yields a 0.82 put-to-call volume ratio. The Constellation Brands option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Constellation Brands option contracts. It shows all of Constellation Brands' listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-05-20 Option Contracts

Constellation Brands option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Constellation Brands' lending market. For example, when Constellation Brands' puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Constellation Brands, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Constellation Brands stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Constellation Brands' distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Constellation Brands' open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Constellation Brands' option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Constellation Brands Maximum Pain Price across 2022-05-20 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Constellation Brands close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Constellation Brands' stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Constellation Brands common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Constellation stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Constellation Brands' stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Constellation Brands to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Constellation Brands In The Money Call Balance

When Constellation Brands' strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Constellation Brands stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Constellation Brands' options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Constellation Brands are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Constellation Current Options Market Mood

Constellation Brands' open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Constellation Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Constellation Brands' calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Constellation Brands' option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Constellation Brands' option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Constellation Brands Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Constellation Brands is a key component of Constellation Brands valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Constellation Brands.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Constellation Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Constellation Brands in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
246.87248.18249.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
224.03272.76274.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.8310.1110.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Constellation Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Constellation Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Constellation Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Constellation Brands.

Additional Constellation Brands Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Constellation Brands is a key component of Constellation Brands valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Constellation Brands.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Constellation Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Constellation Brands in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
246.87248.18249.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
224.03272.76274.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.8310.1110.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Constellation Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Constellation Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Constellation Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Constellation Brands.

Currently Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
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Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Constellation Brands to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Constellation Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Constellation Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Screener module to find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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The data published in Constellation Brands' official financial statements usually reflect Constellation Brands' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Constellation Brands. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Constellation accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Constellation Brands' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Defensive space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Constellation Brands' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Constellation Brands' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Constellation Brands' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Constellation Brands. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Constellation Brands' management to manipulate its earnings.