Union Pacific Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

UNP -  USA Stock  

USD 239.79  6.81  2.76%

The prevalent analyst and expert consensus on Union Pacific is Buy with 16 strong buy estimates. The prevailing projected target price is 250.79 with 19 professional opinions. Some of the most common ways Union Pacific Corp analysts use to provide public buy-or-sell recommendation are financial statements evaluation and conference calls analysis. They also talk to Union Pacific executives, vendors, and customers. Union Pacific buy-or-sell recommendation and consensus module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Union Pacific Corp target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price volatility of 13.36. Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Union Pacific to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Union Analyst Recommendations 

 
Refresh
As of 28th of November 2021, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 11.8 B. In addition to that, Profit Margin is likely to drop to 24.67. Union Pacific Accounts Payable is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Union Pacific reported last year Accounts Payable of 713 Million. As of 28th of November 2021, Debt Current is likely to grow to about 736.1 M, while Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is likely to drop (1.6 B).

Union Pacific Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Union target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Union target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions20
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Union analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Union stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Union Pacific Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Union Pacific Target Price Projection

Union Pacific's current and average target prices are 239.79 and 250.79, respectively. The current price of Union Pacific is the price at which Union Pacific Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, Union Pacific's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Union Pacific Market Quote on 28th of November 2021

Low Price237.66Odds
High Price241.68Odds

239.79

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Union Pacific Target Price

Low Estimate215.0Odds
High Estimate269.0Odds
Number of Analysts19
Standard Deviation13.36

250.789

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Union Pacific Corp and the information provided on this page.

Union Pacific Analyst Ratings

Union Pacific's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Union Pacific stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Union Pacific's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Union Pacific's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Union Pacific Target Price Projections

Union Pacific's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Union Pacific Corp and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Union depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Union Pacific Corp including analysis of its current option contracts.
Union Pacific's latest option contracts expiring on 2021-12-03 are carrying combined implied volatility of 30.82 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.45 over 60 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2021-12-03. The current put volume is at 266, with calls trading at the volume of 123. This yields a 2.16 put-to-call volume ratio. The Union Pacific option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Union Pacific Corp option contracts. It shows all of Union Pacific's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2021-12-03 Option Contracts

Union Pacific option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Union Pacific's lending market. For example, when Union Pacific's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Union Pacific, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Union Pacific stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Union Pacific's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Union Pacific's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Union Pacific's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Union Pacific Maximum Pain Price accross 2021-12-03 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Union Pacific close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Union Pacific's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Union Pacific Corp common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Union stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Union Pacific's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Union Pacific to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Union Pacific Corp In The Money Call Balance

When Union Pacific's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Union Pacific Corp stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Union Pacific's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Union Pacific Corp are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Union Current Options Market Mood

Union Pacific's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Union Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Union Pacific's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Union Pacific's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Union Pacific's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Union Pacific Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Union Pacific is a key component of Union Pacific valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Union Pacific.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Union Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Union Pacific in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
238.84240.07241.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
215.81261.57262.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
246.22247.45248.68
Details
Earnings
Estimates (9)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.8610.0010.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Union Pacific. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Union Pacific's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Union Pacific's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Union Pacific Corp.

Additional Union Pacific Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Union Pacific is a key component of Union Pacific valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Union Pacific.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Union Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Union Pacific in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
238.84240.07241.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
215.81261.57262.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
246.22247.45248.68
Details
Earnings
Estimates (9)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.8610.0010.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Union Pacific. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Union Pacific's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Union Pacific's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Union Pacific Corp.

Currently Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested few shares
Also, please take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Union Pacific to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Union Pacific Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Union Pacific's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Union Stock analysis

When running Union Pacific Corp price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
The data published in Union Pacific's official financial statements usually reflect Union Pacific's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Union Pacific Corp. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Union accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Union Pacific's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Industrials space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Union Pacific's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Union Pacific's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Union Pacific's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Union Pacific Corp. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Union Pacific's management to manipulate its earnings.