Advanced Drainage Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

WMS Stock  USD 92.95  3.25  3.62%   
The current analyst and expert consensus on Advanced Drainage is Buy, with 1 strong buy opinions. The current projected Advanced Drainage target price consensus is 136.0 with 4 analyst opinions. The most common way Advanced Drainage Systems analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Advanced Drainage executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Please note, the number of analysts providing the opinion is not sufficient to provide adequate consensus on Advanced Drainage. We encourage you to use your own analysis of Advanced Drainage Systems to validate this buy or sell advice. Advanced Drainage buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Advanced Drainage Systems target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 18.384. Check out Macroaxis Advice on Advanced Drainage to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
As of 01/27/2023, Profit Margin is likely to grow to 9.52, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 225 M. Advanced Drainage Inventory is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Advanced Drainage reported last year Inventory of 265.04 Million. As of 01/27/2023, Liabilities Non Current is likely to grow to about 433.8 M, while Receivables is likely to drop slightly above 243.7 M.

Advanced Drainage Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Advanced target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Advanced target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions2
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Advanced analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Advanced stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Advanced Drainage Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Advanced Drainage Target Price Projection

Advanced Drainage's current and average target prices are 92.95 and 136.00, respectively. The current price of Advanced Drainage is the price at which Advanced Drainage Systems is currently trading. On the other hand, Advanced Drainage's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Advanced Drainage Market Quote on 27th of January 2023

Low Price90.49Odds
High Price92.98Odds

92.95

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Advanced Drainage Target Price

Low Estimate120.0Odds
High Estimate162.0Odds
Number of Analysts4
Standard Deviation18.384

136.0

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Advanced Drainage Systems and the information provided on this page.

Advanced Drainage Analyst Ratings

Advanced Drainage's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Advanced Drainage stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Advanced Drainage's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Advanced Drainage's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Advanced Drainage Target Price Projections

Advanced Drainage's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Advanced Drainage Systems and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Advanced depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Advanced Drainage Systems including analysis of its current option contracts.
Advanced Drainage's latest option contracts expiring on 2023-02-17 are carrying combined implied volatility of 50.26 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.78 over 36 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2023-02-17. The current put volume is at 17, with calls trading at the volume of 13. This yields a 1.31 put-to-call volume ratio. The Advanced Drainage option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Advanced Drainage Systems option contracts. It shows all of Advanced Drainage's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2023-02-17 Option Contracts

Advanced Drainage option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Advanced Drainage's lending market. For example, when Advanced Drainage's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Advanced Drainage, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Advanced Drainage stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Advanced Drainage's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Advanced Drainage's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Advanced Drainage's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Advanced Drainage Maximum Pain Price across 2023-02-17 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Advanced Drainage close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Advanced Drainage's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Advanced Drainage Systems common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Advanced stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Advanced Drainage's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Check out Macroaxis Advice on Advanced Drainage to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Advanced Drainage Systems In The Money Call Balance

When Advanced Drainage's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Advanced Drainage Systems stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Advanced Drainage's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Advanced Drainage Systems are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Advanced Current Options Market Mood

Advanced Drainage's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Advanced Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Advanced Drainage's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Advanced Drainage's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Advanced Drainage's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Advanced Drainage Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Advanced Drainage is a key component of Advanced Drainage valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Advanced Drainage.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advanced Drainage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Advanced Drainage in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
88.0792.3196.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
83.66111.22115.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
81.1485.3789.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.4587.9592.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Advanced Drainage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Advanced Drainage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Advanced Drainage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Advanced Drainage Systems.

Additional Advanced Drainage Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Advanced Drainage is a key component of Advanced Drainage valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Advanced Drainage.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advanced Drainage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Advanced Drainage in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
88.0792.3196.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
83.66111.22115.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
81.1485.3789.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.4587.9592.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Advanced Drainage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Advanced Drainage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Advanced Drainage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Advanced Drainage Systems.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 200 shares
Impulse
Invested over 20 shares
Marketing
Invested few shares
Check out Macroaxis Advice on Advanced Drainage to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Advanced Drainage Systems price analysis, check to measure Advanced Drainage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Drainage is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Drainage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Drainage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Drainage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Drainage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Advanced Drainage's official financial statements usually reflect Advanced Drainage's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Advanced Drainage Systems. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Advanced accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Advanced Drainage's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Building Products space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Advanced Drainage's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Advanced Drainage's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Advanced Drainage's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Advanced Drainage Systems. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Advanced Drainage's management to manipulate its earnings.