Assured Guaranty Stock Technical Analysis

AGO Stock  USD 78.48  0.37  0.47%   
As of the 24th of April, Assured Guaranty shows the Downside Deviation of 1.36, mean deviation of 1.04, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0101. Assured Guaranty technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Assured Guaranty, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Assured Guaranty treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if Assured Guaranty is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 78.48 per share. Given that Assured Guaranty has jensen alpha of (0.04), we suggest you to validate Assured Guaranty's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Assured Guaranty Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Assured, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Assured
  
Assured Guaranty's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Assured Guaranty Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
75.0Buy4Odds
Assured Guaranty current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Assured analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Assured stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Assured Guaranty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Assured conference calls.
Assured Analyst Advice Details
Assured Guaranty technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Assured Guaranty technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Assured Guaranty trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Assured Guaranty Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was three with a total number of output elements of fifty-eight. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Assured Guaranty volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Assured Guaranty Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for Assured Guaranty. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Assured Guaranty as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Assured Guaranty price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

Assured Guaranty Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Assured Guaranty applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of   0.04  , which may imply that the returns on investment in Assured Guaranty will continue to fail. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 75.05, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Assured Guaranty price change compared to its average price change.

About Assured Guaranty Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Assured Guaranty on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Assured Guaranty based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Assured Guaranty price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Assured Guaranty. By analyzing Assured Guaranty's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Assured Guaranty's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Assured Guaranty specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01630.01530.0118
Price To Sales Ratio5.734.312.69

Assured Guaranty April 24, 2024 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Assured help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Assured from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Assured charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.
Note that the Assured Guaranty information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Assured Guaranty's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Assured Stock analysis

When running Assured Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure Assured Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Assured Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of Assured Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Assured Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Assured Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Assured Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Assured Guaranty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.167
Dividend Share
1.12
Earnings Share
12.3
Revenue Per Share
16.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.