Avalonbay Communities Stock Technical Analysis
| AVB Stock | USD 186.87 2.74 1.49% |
As of the 23rd of April, AvalonBay Communities shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0394, and Mean Deviation of 0.9605. AvalonBay Communities technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for AvalonBay Communities, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm AvalonBay Communities jensen alpha, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk to decide if AvalonBay Communities is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 186.87 per share. Given that AvalonBay Communities has jensen alpha of (0.02), we suggest you to validate AvalonBay Communities's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
AvalonBay Communities Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AvalonBay, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AvalonBayAvalonBay |
AvalonBay Communities Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 197.05 | Buy | 23 | Odds |
Most AvalonBay analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AvalonBay stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AvalonBay Communities, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AvalonBay conference calls.
AvalonBay Communities technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
AvalonBay Communities Technical Analysis
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of AvalonBay Communities volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
AvalonBay Communities Trend Analysis
Use this graph to draw trend lines for AvalonBay Communities. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for AvalonBay Communities as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual AvalonBay Communities price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.AvalonBay Communities Best Fit Change Line
The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for AvalonBay Communities applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of 0.21 , which may imply that AvalonBay Communities will maintain its good market sentiment and make money for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 1687.4, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted AvalonBay Communities price change compared to its average price change.About AvalonBay Communities Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AvalonBay Communities on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AvalonBay Communities based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AvalonBay Communities price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AvalonBay Communities. By analyzing AvalonBay Communities's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AvalonBay Communities's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AvalonBay Communities specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0252 | 0.0395 | 0.0349 | Price To Sales Ratio | 15.34 | 8.7 | 9.37 |
AvalonBay Communities April 23, 2024 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of AvalonBay help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AvalonBay from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AvalonBay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0394 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0686 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9605 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1786.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0586 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.97) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3681 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8745 |
AvalonBay Communities April 23, 2024 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AvalonBay stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12,664 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.73 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 185.80 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 186.15 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.45 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AvalonBay Communities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. For information on how to trade AvalonBay Stock refer to our How to Trade AvalonBay Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Complementary Tools for AvalonBay Stock analysis
When running AvalonBay Communities' price analysis, check to measure AvalonBay Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AvalonBay Communities is operating at the current time. Most of AvalonBay Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AvalonBay Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AvalonBay Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AvalonBay Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AvalonBay Communities' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AvalonBay Communities. If investors know AvalonBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AvalonBay Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Earnings Share 6.56 | Revenue Per Share 19.683 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 | Return On Assets 0.0273 |
The market value of AvalonBay Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AvalonBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AvalonBay Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AvalonBay Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AvalonBay Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AvalonBay Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AvalonBay Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AvalonBay Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.