Novavax Stock Technical Analysis

NVAX Stock  USD 7.47  0.22  2.86%   
As of the 10th of June, Novavax secures the Mean Deviation of 4.39, risk adjusted performance of 0.0527, and Downside Deviation of 5.0. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Novavax, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Novavax, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Novavax jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Novavax is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 7.47 per share. Given that Novavax has jensen alpha of 0.2833, we recommend you to check Novavax's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
  

Novavax Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Novavax, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Novavax
Novavax's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Novavax Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
22.83Hold6Odds
Novavax current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Novavax analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Novavax stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Novavax, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Novavax conference calls.
Novavax Analyst Advice Details
Novavax technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Novavax technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Novavax trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Novavax Technical Analysis

Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Novavax volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
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Novavax Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for Novavax. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Novavax as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Novavax price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

Novavax Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Novavax applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of   0.020029  , which means Novavax will continue generating value for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 15.17, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Novavax price change compared to its average price change.

About Novavax Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Novavax on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Novavax based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Novavax price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Novavax. By analyzing Novavax's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Novavax's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Novavax specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2022 2023 (projected)
PPandE Turnover7.588.18
Long Term Debt to Equity0.520.56

Novavax June 10, 2023 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Novavax help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Novavax from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Novavax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Novavax June 10, 2023 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Novavax stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Novavax. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. For more information on how to buy Novavax Stock please use our How to Invest in Novavax guide. Note that the Novavax information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Novavax's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

Complementary Tools for Novavax Stock analysis

When running Novavax's price analysis, check to measure Novavax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novavax is operating at the current time. Most of Novavax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novavax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novavax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novavax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
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Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
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Is Novavax's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Novavax. If investors know Novavax will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Novavax listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(15.41) 
Revenue Per Share
16.857
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.89) 
Return On Assets
(0.33) 
Return On Equity
(8.98) 
The market value of Novavax is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Novavax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Novavax's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Novavax's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Novavax's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Novavax's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Novavax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Novavax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Novavax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.