Shoe Carnival Stock Technical Analysis

SCVL Stock  USD 32.46  0.19  0.58%   
As of the 18th of April 2024, Shoe Carnival has the Coefficient Of Variation of 659.86, semi deviation of 1.7, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1028. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Shoe Carnival, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for Shoe Carnival, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Shoe Carnival variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Shoe Carnival is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 32.46 per share. Given that Shoe Carnival has jensen alpha of 0.2437, we advise you to double-check Shoe Carnival's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Shoe Carnival Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Shoe, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Shoe
  
Shoe Carnival's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Shoe Carnival Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
29.33Strong Buy3Odds
Shoe Carnival current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Shoe analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Shoe stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Shoe Carnival, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Shoe conference calls.
Shoe Analyst Advice Details
Shoe Carnival technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Shoe Carnival technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Shoe Carnival trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Shoe Carnival Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was three with a total number of output elements of fifty-eight. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Shoe Carnival volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Shoe Carnival Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for Shoe Carnival. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Shoe Carnival as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Shoe Carnival price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

Shoe Carnival Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Shoe Carnival applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of   0.16  , which means Shoe Carnival will continue generating value for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 999.16, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Shoe Carnival price change compared to its average price change.

About Shoe Carnival Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Shoe Carnival on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shoe Carnival based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Shoe Carnival price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Shoe Carnival. By analyzing Shoe Carnival's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Shoe Carnival's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Shoe Carnival specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2014 2020 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0110.0170.0486
Price To Sales Ratio0.50.610.23

Shoe Carnival April 18, 2024 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Shoe help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shoe from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Shoe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Shoe Carnival April 18, 2024 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Shoe stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for Shoe Stock analysis

When running Shoe Carnival's price analysis, check to measure Shoe Carnival's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shoe Carnival is operating at the current time. Most of Shoe Carnival's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shoe Carnival's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shoe Carnival's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shoe Carnival to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shoe Carnival's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shoe Carnival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
0.44
Earnings Share
2.68
Revenue Per Share
43.182
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Shoe Carnival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shoe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shoe Carnival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shoe Carnival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shoe Carnival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shoe Carnival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shoe Carnival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.