Toll Brothers Stock Technical Analysis
TOL Stock | USD 119.52 5.71 5.02% |
As of the 24th of April, Toll Brothers has the Coefficient Of Variation of 862.76, semi deviation of 2.14, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0782. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Toll Brothers, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Toll Brothers, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Toll Brothers standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Toll Brothers is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 119.52 per share. Given that Toll Brothers has jensen alpha of 0.0487, we advise you to double-check Toll Brothers's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Toll Brothers Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Toll, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TollToll |
Toll Brothers Analyst Consensus
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
92.14 | Buy | 20 | Odds |
Most Toll analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Toll stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Toll Brothers, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Toll conference calls.
Toll Brothers technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Toll Brothers Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was eight with a total number of output elements of fifty-three. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Toll Brothers volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Toll Brothers Trend Analysis
Use this graph to draw trend lines for Toll Brothers. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Toll Brothers as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Toll Brothers price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.Toll Brothers Best Fit Change Line
The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Toll Brothers applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of 0.43 , which may imply that Toll Brothers will maintain its good market sentiment and make money for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 6903.44, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Toll Brothers price change compared to its average price change.About Toll Brothers Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Toll Brothers on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toll Brothers based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Toll Brothers price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Toll Brothers. By analyzing Toll Brothers's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Toll Brothers's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Toll Brothers specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0177 | 0.0135 | 0.0128 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.49 | 0.9 | 1.26 |
Toll Brothers April 24, 2024 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Toll help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toll from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Toll charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0782 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1119 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
Semi Deviation | 2.14 | |||
Downside Deviation | 2.27 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 862.76 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
Variance | 3.9 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0707 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.0487 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0614 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.1019 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 9.5 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.96) | |||
Potential Upside | 2.41 | |||
Downside Variance | 5.17 | |||
Semi Variance | 4.57 | |||
Expected Short fall | (1.56) | |||
Skewness | (0.83) | |||
Kurtosis | 0.8852 |
Toll Brothers April 24, 2024 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Toll stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 69,319 | ||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.94 | ||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | ||
Day Median Price | 116.83 | ||
Day Typical Price | 117.73 | ||
Price Action Indicator | 5.54 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Toll Stock analysis
When running Toll Brothers' price analysis, check to measure Toll Brothers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toll Brothers is operating at the current time. Most of Toll Brothers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toll Brothers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toll Brothers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toll Brothers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Toll Brothers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.324 | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 12.92 | Revenue Per Share 93.707 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 |
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.