Northern Oil Valuation

NOG Stock  USD 42.05  0.40  0.94%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Northern Oil Gas secures a last-minute Real Value of $48.91 per share. The latest price of the firm is $42.05. Our model forecasts the value of Northern Oil Gas from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.66, profit margin of 0.53 %, and Current Valuation of 6.05 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors recommend locking in undervalued stocks and disposing overvalued stocks since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will merge together. Key fundamental drivers impacting Northern Oil's valuation include:
Price Book
2.1041
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
3.7819
Price Sales
2.4664
Forward PE
7.9491
Undervalued
Today
42.05
Please note that Northern Oil's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Northern Oil Gas is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Northern Oil's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Northern Oil Gas is useful when determining the fair value of the Northern stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Northern Oil. Since Northern Oil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Northern Stock. However, Northern Oil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  42.05 Real  48.91 Target  51.17 Hype  41.95 Naive  41.9
The real value of Northern Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Northern Oil Gas Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Northern Oil's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Northern Oil's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Northern Oil's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
48.91
Real Value
50.42
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Northern Oil Gas helps investors to forecast how Northern stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Northern Oil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Northern Oil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.031.161.32
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.4441.9543.46
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.770.790.81
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
46.5651.1756.80
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Northern Oil's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Northern Oil's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Northern Oil's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Northern Oil Gas, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Northern Oil Investments

(1.93 Billion)

Northern Valuation Trend

Knowing Northern Oil's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Northern Oil's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Northern Oil's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Northern Oil's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Northern Market Cap

Northern Oil Gas is rated below average in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Energy industry is now estimated at about 80.12 Billion. Northern Oil holds roughly 4.25 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 5% of equities under Energy industry.
Capitalization  Total debt  Valuation  Revenue  Workforce

Northern Oil Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Northern Oil's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Northern Oil value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Northern Oil competition to find correlations between indicators driving Northern Oil's intrinsic value. More Info.
Northern Oil Gas is rated below average in price to earning category among related companies. It is regarded fourth in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.23  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for Northern Oil Gas is roughly  4.29 . The Northern Oil's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.74. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Northern Oil by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Northern Oil's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Northern Oil's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Northern Oil's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Northern Oil and how it compares across the competition.

About Northern Oil Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Northern Oil Gas on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northern Oil Gas. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Northern Oil Gas based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Northern Oil's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Northern Oil's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Northern Oil. We calculate exposure to Northern Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northern Oil's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit913.9 M959.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.52  0.55 
Operating Profit Margin 0.46  0.48 
Net Profit Margin 0.48  0.51 
Gross Profit Margin 0.48  0.55 

8 Steps to conduct Northern Oil's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Northern Oil's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Northern Oil's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Northern Oil's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Northern Oil's revenue streams: Identify Northern Oil's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Northern Oil's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Northern Oil's growth potential: Evaluate Northern Oil's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Northern Oil's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Northern Oil's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.
Northern Oil's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Northern Oil's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Northern Oil can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Northern Oil represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Northern, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Northern Oil Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The Northern Oil's current Dividends Paid is estimated to increase to about (117.7 M). The current Dividend Yield is estimated to decrease to 0.03. At this time, Northern Oil's Earnings Yield is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Northern Oil's current Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 3.86, while Retained Earnings are projected to decrease to (81.7 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-123.9 M-117.7 M
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.13  0.13 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(0.69)(0.72)
There are various types of dividends Northern Oil can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Northern shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Northern Oil Gas directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Northern pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Northern Oil by the value of the dividends paid out.

Northern Oil Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Northern Oil does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.379
Forward Price Earnings7.9491

Northern Oil Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Northern Oil Gas and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Northern we look at many different elements of the entity such as Northern's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Northern Oil's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Northern Oil's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Northern Oil, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Northern Oil's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Northern Oil's worth.
When determining whether Northern Oil Gas is a strong investment it is important to analyze Northern Oil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Northern Oil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Northern Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northern Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Northern Stock analysis

When running Northern Oil's price analysis, check to measure Northern Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Northern Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Oil. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.379
Dividend Share
1.49
Earnings Share
10.03
Revenue Per Share
19.095
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.226
The market value of Northern Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.