Douglas Dynamics Valuation

PLOW Stock  USD 22.01  0.20  0.92%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Douglas Dynamics shows a prevailing Real Value of $27.9 per share. The current price of the firm is $22.01. Our model computes the value of Douglas Dynamics from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 22.98 M, current valuation of 736 M, and Profit Margin of 0.04 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors advise buying undervalued instruments and disposing overvalued instruments since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will submerge. Key fundamental drivers impacting Douglas Dynamics' valuation include:
Price Book
2.1737
Enterprise Value
736 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.0543
Price Sales
0.8859
Forward PE
14.9925
Undervalued
Today
22.01
Please note that Douglas Dynamics' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Douglas Dynamics is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Douglas Dynamics' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Douglas Dynamics is useful when determining the fair value of the Douglas stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Douglas Dynamics. Since Douglas Dynamics is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Douglas Stock. However, Douglas Dynamics' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  22.01 Real  27.9 Target  44.0 Hype  21.64 Naive  20.77
The real value of Douglas Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Douglas Dynamics Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Douglas Dynamics' financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Douglas Dynamics' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Douglas Dynamics' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
27.90
Real Value
30.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Douglas Dynamics helps investors to forecast how Douglas stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Douglas Dynamics more accurately as focusing exclusively on Douglas Dynamics' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.39-0.32-0.26
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1121.6424.17
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.630.680.74
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
40.0444.0048.84
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Douglas Dynamics' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Douglas Dynamics' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Douglas Dynamics' closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Douglas Dynamics, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Douglas Dynamics Investments

(11.39 Million)

Douglas Valuation Trend

Knowing Douglas Dynamics' actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Douglas Dynamics' real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Douglas Dynamics' financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Douglas Dynamics' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Douglas Market Cap

Douglas Dynamics is considered to be number one stock in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Industrials industry is at this time estimated at about 13.2 Billion. Douglas Dynamics holds roughly 505.88 Million in market capitalization claiming about 4% of equities under Industrials industry.
Capitalization  Revenue  Workforce  Valuation  Total debt

Douglas Dynamics Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Douglas Dynamics's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Douglas Dynamics value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Douglas Dynamics competition to find correlations between indicators driving Douglas Dynamics's intrinsic value. More Info.
Douglas Dynamics is considered to be number one stock in price to earning category among related companies. It is considered to be number one stock in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.08  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for Douglas Dynamics is roughly  11.96 . Price To Book Ratio is likely to drop to 2.22 in 2024. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Douglas Dynamics by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Douglas Dynamics' Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Douglas Dynamics' earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Douglas Dynamics' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Douglas Dynamics and how it compares across the competition.

About Douglas Dynamics Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Douglas Dynamics on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Douglas Dynamics. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Douglas Dynamics based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Douglas Dynamics's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Douglas Dynamics's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Douglas Dynamics. We calculate exposure to Douglas Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Douglas Dynamics's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit123.8 M116.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.05  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.08 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.34 

Douglas Dynamics Quarterly Retained Earnings

59.75 Million

8 Steps to conduct Douglas Dynamics' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Douglas Dynamics' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Douglas Dynamics' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Douglas Dynamics' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Douglas Dynamics' revenue streams: Identify Douglas Dynamics' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Douglas Dynamics' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Douglas Dynamics' growth potential: Evaluate Douglas Dynamics' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Douglas Dynamics' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Douglas Dynamics' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.
Douglas Dynamics' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Douglas Dynamics' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Douglas Dynamics can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Douglas Dynamics represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Douglas, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Douglas Dynamics Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Douglas Dynamics' Dividend Yield is fairly stable compared to the past year. Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to climb to 1.29 in 2024, despite the fact that Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (26.1 M). . At this time, Douglas Dynamics' Retained Earnings are fairly stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to climb to about 75.6 M in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 14.99 in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-27.4 M-26.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.04 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.16  1.29 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.72  0.95 
There are various types of dividends Douglas Dynamics can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Douglas shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Douglas Dynamics directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Douglas pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Douglas Dynamics by the value of the dividends paid out.

Douglas Dynamics Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Douglas Dynamics does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.408
Forward Price Earnings14.9925

Douglas Dynamics Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Douglas Dynamics and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Douglas we look at many different elements of the entity such as Douglas's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Douglas Dynamics' valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Douglas Dynamics' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Douglas Dynamics, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Douglas Dynamics' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Douglas Dynamics' worth.
When determining whether Douglas Dynamics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Douglas Dynamics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Douglas Dynamics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Douglas Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Douglas Dynamics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Dynamics guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for Douglas Stock analysis

When running Douglas Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Douglas Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Douglas Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Dynamics. If investors know Douglas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Douglas Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Dividend Share
1.18
Earnings Share
0.98
Revenue Per Share
24.744
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
The market value of Douglas Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Douglas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Douglas Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Douglas Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Douglas Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Douglas Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Douglas Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Douglas Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Douglas Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.