American Century One Fund Volatility
AAAFX Fund | USD 9.61 0.01 0.10% |
We consider American Century very steady. American Century One secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0871, which signifies that the fund had 0.0871% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our philosophy in foreseeing the volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for American Century One, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity. Please confirm American Century's mean deviation of 0.2892, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0928 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0298%. Key indicators related to American Century's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
American Century Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of American daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use American's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of American Century volatility.
American |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as American Century can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of American Century at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase American stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of American Century's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with American Mutual Fund
0.62 | STFGX | State Farm Growth | PairCorr |
0.84 | AMDVX | Mid Cap Value | PairCorr |
0.86 | AMEIX | Equity Growth Fund | PairCorr |
0.86 | AMKIX | Emerging Markets Fund | PairCorr |
0.82 | TWADX | Value Fund A | PairCorr |
0.8 | TWCCX | Ultra Fund C | PairCorr |
0.81 | TWCAX | Select Fund A | PairCorr |
American Century Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
American Century's beta coefficient measures the volatility of American mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents American mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, American Century's beta of 0.48 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk American Century mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
American Century One exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.16 and kurtosis of 6.23. However, we advise investors to further study American Century One technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Century's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Century's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall. 3 Months Beta |Analyze American Century One Demand TrendCheck current 90 days American Century correlation with market (NYSE Composite)American Beta |
American standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.34 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by American Century's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of American Century's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in american mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in American Century.
American Century One Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which American Century fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with American Century's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of American Century's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of American Century's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures American Century's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict American Century's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for American Century's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on American Century's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. American Century One Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
American Century Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Century has a beta of 0.4837 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Century average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Century One will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Century or American Century Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Century's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. American Century One is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives an American Century Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.American Century Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Century or American Century Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Century's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of American Century is 1147.68. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.12 and standard deviation of 0.34. The mean deviation of American Century One is currently at 0.26. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
American Century Mutual Fund Return Volatility
American Century historical daily return volatility represents how much of American Century fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.3424% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5953% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About American Century Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of American Century or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of American Century may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to American's beta indicator, it measures the risk of American Century and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of American Century fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund is a fund of funds, meaning that it seeks to achieve its objective by investing in other mutual funds and exchange-traded funds advised by American Century that represent a variety of asset classes and investment styles. The underlying stock funds draw on growth, value and quantitative investment techniques and diversify investments among small, medium and large U.S. and foreign companies.
American Century's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on American Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much American Century's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize American Century's volatility to invest better
Higher American Century's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of American Century One fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. American Century One fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of American Century One investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in American Century's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of American Century's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
American Century Investment Opportunity
NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.6 and is 1.76 times more volatile than American Century One. 3 of all equities and portfolios are less risky than American Century. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of American Century One is lower than 3 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use American Century One to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of American Century to be traded at $9.51 in 90 days.Poor diversification
The correlation between American Century One and NYA is 0.75 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Century One and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
American Century Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Century's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Century's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of American Century mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0928 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1208 | |||
Mean Deviation | 0.2892 | |||
Semi Deviation | 0.1755 | |||
Downside Deviation | 0.3746 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 643.42 | |||
Standard Deviation | 0.4093 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
American Century Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against American Century as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. American Century's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, American Century's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to American Century One.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Century One. Also, note that the market value of any Mutual Fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the American Century One information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Century's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
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When running American Century's price analysis, check to measure American Century's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Century is operating at the current time. Most of American Century's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Century's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Century's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Century to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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