# ADTRAN Stock Volatility

ADTN Stock | USD 15.96 0.48 3.10% |

ADTRAN Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had -0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. ADTRAN Inc exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm ADTRAN Inc risk adjusted performance of (0.16), and Mean Deviation of 1.78 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.

ADTRAN |

ADTRAN Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ADTRAN daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ADTRAN's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ADTRAN volatility.

### 180 Days Market Risk

### Chance of Distress

### 180 Days Economic Sensitivity

Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as ADTRAN can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of ADTRAN at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase ADTRAN stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of ADTRAN's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

## Moving against ADTRAN

- | 0.85 | ANET | Arista Networks | Tech Boost | PairCorr | ||

- | 0.72 | AAPL | Apple Inc | Aggressive Push | PairCorr | ||

- | 0.65 | AVNW | Aviat Networks | Fiscal Quarter End 31st of March 2023 | PairCorr | ||

- | 0.61 | AAOI | Applied Opt | Fiscal Quarter End 31st of March 2023 | PairCorr |

## ADTRAN Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

ADTRAN's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ADTRAN stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ADTRAN stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, ADTRAN's beta of 1.41 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ADTRAN stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.

ADTRAN Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.11 and kurtosis of -0.09. However, we advise investors to further study ADTRAN Inc technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ADTRAN's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ADTRAN's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall. 3 Months Beta |Analyze ADTRAN Inc Demand TrendCheck current 90 days ADTRAN correlation with market (NYSE Composite)## ADTRAN Beta |

ADTRAN standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

## Standard Deviation | 2.17 |

It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ADTRAN's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ADTRAN's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in adtran stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ADTRAN.

## Using ADTRAN Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on ADTRAN grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of ADTRAN at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of ADTRAN Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge ADTRAN's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding ADTRAN will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

### ADTRAN's PUT expiring on 2023-04-21

Profit |

ADTRAN Price At Expiration |

### Current ADTRAN Insurance Chain

Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||

Put | 2023-04-21 PUT at $16.0 | -0.5683 | 0.1922 | 1 | 2023-04-21 | 0.85 - 1.35 | 0.75 | View |

Put | 2023-04-21 PUT at $15.0 | -0.3537 | 0.2355 | 10 | 2023-04-21 | 0.2 - 0.6 | 0.75 | View |

## ADTRAN Inc Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which ADTRAN stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ADTRAN's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ADTRAN's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ADTRAN's volatility:

### Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures ADTRAN's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ADTRAN's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.### Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ADTRAN's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ADTRAN's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |

The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ADTRAN Typical Price indicator is an average of each day price and can be used instead of closing price when creating different ADTRAN Inc moving average lines..

## ADTRAN Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4059 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ADTRAN will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ADTRAN or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ADTRAN's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ADTRAN stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.

The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. ADTRAN Inc is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |

Returns |

## What Drives an ADTRAN Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:### Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.### Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.### The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.## ADTRAN Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ADTRAN or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ADTRAN's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ADTRAN stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of ADTRAN is -846.89. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.71 and standard deviation of 2.17. The mean deviation of ADTRAN Inc is currently at 1.77. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.95

α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |

β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.41 | |

σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |

Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |

## ADTRAN Stock Return Volatility

ADTRAN historical daily return volatility represents how much of ADTRAN stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.1701% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.9446% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance (%) |

Timeline |

## About ADTRAN Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of ADTRAN or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ADTRAN may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ADTRAN's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ADTRAN and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ADTRAN fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.

Please read more on our technical analysis page.Last Reported | Projected for 2023 | ||

Market Capitalization | 1.5 B | 1.2 B |

ADTRAN's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ADTRAN Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ADTRAN's price varies over time.

## 3 ways to utilize ADTRAN's volatility to invest better

Higher ADTRAN's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ADTRAN Inc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ADTRAN Inc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ADTRAN Inc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ADTRAN's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ADTRAN's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.

## ADTRAN Investment Opportunity

ADTRAN Inc has a volatility of 2.17 and is 2.31 times more volatile than NYSE Composite.**18**of all equities and portfolios are less risky than ADTRAN. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of ADTRAN Inc is lower than

**18 ()**of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use ADTRAN Inc to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of ADTRAN to be traded at $19.15 in 90 days.

### Poor diversification

The correlation between ADTRAN Inc and NYA is

**0.61**(i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ADTRAN Inc and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.## ADTRAN Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of ADTRAN's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ADTRAN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ADTRAN stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||

Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.27) | |||

Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||

Coefficient Of Variation | (580.76) | |||

Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||

Variance | 4.88 | |||

Information Ratio | (0.14) |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## ADTRAN Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.

IShares MSCI vs. ADTRAN | ||

IShares Currency vs. ADTRAN | ||

Direxion Auspice vs. ADTRAN | ||

WisdomTree Europe vs. ADTRAN | ||

The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ADTRAN as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ADTRAN's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ADTRAN's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ADTRAN Inc.

Please continue to Trending Equities. You can also try Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running ADTRAN Inc price analysis, check to measure ADTRAN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADTRAN is operating at the current time. Most of ADTRAN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADTRAN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADTRAN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADTRAN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is ADTRAN's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADTRAN. If investors know ADTRAN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADTRAN listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth(0.60) | Dividend Share0.36 | Earnings Share(0.03) | Revenue Per Share16.449 | Quarterly Revenue Growth1.324 |

The market value of ADTRAN Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADTRAN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADTRAN's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADTRAN's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADTRAN's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADTRAN's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between ADTRAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ADTRAN value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADTRAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.