Aar Corp Stock Volatility
| AIR Stock | USD 67.93 0.14 0.21% |
AAR Corp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. AAR Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for AAR Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of AAR Corp's Mean Deviation of 1.37, coefficient of variation of 820.37, and Semi Deviation of 1.5 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to AAR Corp's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
AAR Corp Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of AAR daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use AAR's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of AAR Corp volatility.
AAR |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as AAR Corp can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of AAR Corp at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase AAR stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of AAR Corp's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against AAR Stock
| 0.54 | CAE | CAE Inc Financial Report 29th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
AAR Corp Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
AAR Corp's beta coefficient measures the volatility of AAR stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents AAR stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, AAR Corp's beta of -0.059 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk AAR Corp stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. AAR Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.13 and kurtosis of 2.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AAR Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AAR Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze AAR Corp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days AAR Corp correlation with market (NYSE Composite)AAR Beta |
AAR standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.88 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by AAR Corp's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of AAR Corp's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in aar stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in AAR Corp.
Using AAR Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on AAR Corp grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of AAR Corp at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of AAR Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge AAR Corp's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding AAR Corp will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
AAR Corp's PUT expiring on 2024-05-17
Profit |
| AAR Corp Price At Expiration |
Current AAR Corp Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $65.0 | -0.2669 | 0.0636 | 30 | 2024-05-17 | 0.65 - 1.1 | 0.6 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $60.0 | -0.0602 | 0.0213 | 58 | 2024-05-17 | 0.1 - 0.2 | 0.23 | View |
AAR Corp Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which AAR Corp stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with AAR Corp's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of AAR Corp's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of AAR Corp's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures AAR Corp's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict AAR Corp's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for AAR Corp's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on AAR Corp's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. AAR Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
AAR Corp Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AAR Corp has a beta of -0.059 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AAR Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AAR Corp is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AAR Corp or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AAR Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AAR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
AAR Corp has an alpha of 0.2228, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an AAR Corp Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.AAR Corp Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of AAR Corp is 689.34. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.53 and standard deviation of 1.88. The mean deviation of AAR Corp is currently at 1.37. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AAR Corp Stock Return Volatility
AAR Corp historical daily return volatility represents how much of AAR Corp stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise has volatility of 1.8798% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.633% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About AAR Corp Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of AAR Corp or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of AAR Corp may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to AAR's beta indicator, it measures the risk of AAR Corp and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of AAR Corp fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 1.1 B | 1.1 B |
AAR Corp's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on AAR Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much AAR Corp's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize AAR Corp's volatility to invest better
Higher AAR Corp's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of AAR Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. AAR Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of AAR Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in AAR Corp's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of AAR Corp's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
AAR Corp Investment Opportunity
AAR Corp has a volatility of 1.88 and is 2.98 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of AAR Corp is lower than 16 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use AAR Corp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of AAR Corp to be traded at $71.33 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between AAR Corp and NYA is -0.02 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AAR Corp and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
AAR Corp Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of AAR Corp's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AAR Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of AAR Corp stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0827 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.68) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 820.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
AAR Corp Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against AAR Corp as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. AAR Corp's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, AAR Corp's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to AAR Corp.
When determining whether AAR Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze AAR Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AAR Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AAR Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AAR Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. To learn how to invest in AAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in AAR Corp guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for AAR Stock analysis
When running AAR Corp's price analysis, check to measure AAR Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAR Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AAR Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAR Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAR Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAR Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AAR Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAR Corp. If investors know AAR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AAR Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Earnings Share 1.69 | Revenue Per Share 63.442 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.089 | Return On Assets 0.0538 |
The market value of AAR Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AAR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AAR Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AAR Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AAR Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AAR Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AAR Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AAR Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AAR Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.