Alpha Metallurgical Resources Stock Volatility

AMR Stock  USD 337.21  4.97  1.45%   
Alpha Metallurgical secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0541, which signifies that the company had a -0.0541% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Alpha Metallurgical Resources exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alpha Metallurgical's Standard Deviation of 4.02, risk adjusted performance of 0.0067, and Mean Deviation of 2.79 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Alpha Metallurgical's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Alpha Metallurgical Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Alpha daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Alpha's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Alpha Metallurgical volatility.
  

Using Alpha Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Alpha Metallurgical grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Alpha Metallurgical at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Alpha Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Alpha Metallurgical's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Alpha Metallurgical will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Alpha Metallurgical's PUT expiring on 2024-04-19

   Profit   
       Alpha Metallurgical Price At Expiration  

Current Alpha Metallurgical Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $390.0-0.93340.004112024-04-1950.6 - 56.783.4View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $380.0-0.93650.004812024-04-1940.1 - 46.863.0View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $360.0-0.86220.0112412024-04-1921.3 - 26.914.75View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $350.0-0.76480.0183522024-04-1910.7 - 17.915.01View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $340.0-0.5880.034442024-04-193.5 - 8.56.1View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $330.0-0.26650.0272982024-04-191.1 - 2.32.0View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $320.0-0.05980.01031172024-04-190.25 - 2.250.3View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $310.0-0.04540.0056872024-04-190.05 - 0.60.3View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $300.0-0.04820.00413312024-04-190.05 - 1.00.5View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $270.0-0.00525.0E-43342024-04-190.0 - 0.050.05View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $260.0-0.00454.0E-4662024-04-190.0 - 0.450.05View
View All Alpha Metallurgical Options

Alpha Metallurgical Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Alpha Metallurgical stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Alpha Metallurgical's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Alpha Metallurgical's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Alpha Metallurgical's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Alpha Metallurgical's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Alpha Metallurgical's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Alpha Metallurgical's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Alpha Metallurgical's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Alpha Metallurgical Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Alpha Metallurgical Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.0047 . This suggests Alpha Metallurgical Resources market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alpha Metallurgical is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alpha Metallurgical or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alpha Metallurgical's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alpha stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Alpha Metallurgical's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how alpha stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Alpha Metallurgical Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Alpha Metallurgical Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Alpha Metallurgical is -1849.01. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 15.99 and standard deviation of 4.0. The mean deviation of Alpha Metallurgical Resources is currently at 2.72. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.00
σ
Overall volatility
4.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Alpha Metallurgical Stock Return Volatility

Alpha Metallurgical historical daily return volatility represents how much of Alpha Metallurgical stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise has volatility of 3.9989% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6214% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Alpha Metallurgical Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Alpha Metallurgical or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Alpha Metallurgical may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Alpha's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Alpha Metallurgical and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Alpha Metallurgical fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing ExpensesM3.6 M
Market Cap4.8 BB
Alpha Metallurgical's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Alpha Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Alpha Metallurgical's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Alpha Metallurgical's volatility to invest better

Higher Alpha Metallurgical's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Alpha Metallurgical stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Alpha Metallurgical stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Alpha Metallurgical investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Alpha Metallurgical's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Alpha Metallurgical's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Alpha Metallurgical Investment Opportunity

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a volatility of 4.0 and is 6.45 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Alpha Metallurgical Resources is lower than 35 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Alpha Metallurgical Resources to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Alpha Metallurgical to be traded at $327.09 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Alpha Metallurgical Resources and NYA is 0.15 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Alpha Metallurgical Resources and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Alpha Metallurgical Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alpha Metallurgical's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alpha Metallurgical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Alpha Metallurgical stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Alpha Metallurgical Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Alpha Metallurgical as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Alpha Metallurgical's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Alpha Metallurgical's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Alpha Metallurgical Resources.
When determining whether Alpha Metallurgical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alpha Metallurgical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alpha Metallurgical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alpha Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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When running Alpha Metallurgical's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Metallurgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Metallurgical is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Metallurgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Metallurgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Metallurgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alpha Metallurgical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alpha Metallurgical. If investors know Alpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alpha Metallurgical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
1.94
Earnings Share
49.3
Revenue Per Share
246.087
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.166
The market value of Alpha Metallurgical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alpha Metallurgical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alpha Metallurgical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alpha Metallurgical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alpha Metallurgical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpha Metallurgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alpha Metallurgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpha Metallurgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.