Ayalon Holdings (Israel) Volatility

AYAL Stock  ILA 1,788  12.00  0.67%   
Ayalon Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0273, which signifies that the company had a -0.0273% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Ayalon Holdings exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ayalon Holdings' risk adjusted performance of 0.0442, and Mean Deviation of 2.18 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Ayalon Holdings' volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
Ayalon Holdings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ayalon daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ayalon's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ayalon Holdings volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Ayalon Holdings can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Ayalon Holdings at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Ayalon stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Ayalon Holdings' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Ayalon Stock

  0.65ELAL El Al IsraelPairCorr
  0.73PLAZ Plaza Centers NVPairCorr
  0.7KNFM KnafaimPairCorr
  0.85ZUR Zur Shamir HoldingsPairCorr

Moving against Ayalon Stock

  0.71ITYF Itay Financial AAPairCorr

Ayalon Holdings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ayalon Holdings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ayalon stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ayalon stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ayalon Holdings's beta of 0.86 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ayalon Holdings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ayalon Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ayalon Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ayalon Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ayalon Holdings Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ayalon Holdings correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Ayalon Beta

    
  0.86  
Ayalon standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.58  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Ayalon Holdings's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Ayalon Holdings' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ayalon stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Ayalon Holdings.

Ayalon Holdings Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ayalon Holdings stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ayalon Holdings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ayalon Holdings' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ayalon Holdings' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Ayalon Holdings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ayalon Holdings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ayalon Holdings' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ayalon Holdings' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ayalon Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Ayalon Holdings Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ayalon Holdings has a beta of 0.8589 . This suggests Ayalon Holdings market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ayalon Holdings is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ayalon Holdings or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ayalon Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ayalon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ayalon Holdings has an alpha of 0.0832, implying that it can generate a 0.0832 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ayalon Holdings' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how ayalon stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Ayalon Holdings Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ayalon Holdings Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Ayalon Holdings is -3660.57. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.66 and standard deviation of 2.58. The mean deviation of Ayalon Holdings is currently at 1.98. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.86
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Ayalon Holdings Stock Return Volatility

Ayalon Holdings historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ayalon Holdings stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 2.5803% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6371% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Ayalon Holdings Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ayalon Holdings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ayalon Holdings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ayalon's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ayalon Holdings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ayalon Holdings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ayalon Holdings Ltd, through its subsidiaries, provides various insurance products in Israel. Ayalon Holdings Ltd is a subsidiary of Estate Of Levi Rachmani. AYALON HOLDINGS operates under InsuranceDiversified classification in Israel and is traded on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange. It employs 1100 people.
Ayalon Holdings' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Ayalon Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Ayalon Holdings' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Ayalon Holdings' volatility to invest better

Higher Ayalon Holdings' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Ayalon Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Ayalon Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Ayalon Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Ayalon Holdings' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Ayalon Holdings' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Ayalon Holdings Investment Opportunity

Ayalon Holdings has a volatility of 2.58 and is 4.03 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Ayalon Holdings. You can use Ayalon Holdings to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Ayalon Holdings to be traded at 1752.24 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Ayalon Holdings and NYA is 0.19 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ayalon Holdings and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Ayalon Holdings Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ayalon Holdings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ayalon Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ayalon Holdings stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ayalon Holdings Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ayalon Holdings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ayalon Holdings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ayalon Holdings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ayalon Holdings.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ayalon Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Ayalon Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Ayalon Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ayalon Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Ayalon Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ayalon Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ayalon Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ayalon Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ayalon Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ayalon Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ayalon Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.