Colgate Stock Volatility

CL
 Stock
  

USD 80.13  0.25  0.31%   

We consider Colgate Palmolive very steady. Colgate-Palmolive secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0727, which signifies that the company had 0.0727% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Colgate-Palmolive, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Colgate-Palmolive Downside Deviation of 1.61, risk adjusted performance of 0.1326, and Mean Deviation of 1.05 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%.
  
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Colgate Palmolive Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Colgate daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Colgate's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Colgate Palmolive volatility.

720 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Very Small

720 Days Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closely

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Colgate Palmolive's sustainability indicators can be used to identify a proper investment strutegies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Colgate Palmolive's managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Colgate Palmolive can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Colgate Palmolive at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Colgate stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Colgate Palmolive's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Colgate Palmolive Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Colgate Palmolive's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Colgate stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Colgate stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Colgate Palmolive's beta of 0.65 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Colgate Palmolive stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Let's try to break down what Colgate's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Colgate Palmolive returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Colgate Palmolive will be expected to be smaller as well.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Colgate-Palmolive Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Colgate Palmolive correlation with market (DOW)

Colgate Beta

    
  0.65  
Colgate standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.46  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Colgate Palmolive's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Colgate Palmolive stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Colgate Palmolive stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Colgate Palmolive.

Colgate Palmolive Implied Volatility

    
  35.61  
Colgate Palmolive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Colgate-Palmolive stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Colgate Palmolive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Colgate Palmolive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Colgate Palmolive's options are near their expiration.

Colgate-Palmolive Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Colgate Palmolive stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Colgate Palmolive's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Colgate Palmolive's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Colgate Palmolive's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Colgate Palmolive's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Colgate Palmolive's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Colgate Palmolive's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Colgate Palmolive Typical Price indicator is an average of each day price and can be used instead of closing price when creating different Colgate-Palmolive moving average lines.
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Colgate Palmolive Projected Return Density Against Market

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Colgate Palmolive has a beta of 0.6458 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Colgate Palmolive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Colgate-Palmolive will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Colgate Palmolive or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Colgate Palmolive stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Colgate stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.2218, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Colgate Palmolive's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Colgate Palmolive stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Colgate Palmolive Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Colgate Palmolive or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Colgate Palmolive stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Colgate stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Colgate Palmolive is 1375.83. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.13 and standard deviation of 1.46. The mean deviation of Colgate-Palmolive is currently at 1.04. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.42
α
Alpha over DOW
0.22
β
Beta against DOW0.65
σ
Overall volatility
1.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Colgate Palmolive Stock Return Volatility

Colgate Palmolive historical daily return volatility represents how much Colgate Palmolive stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 1.4594% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.4425% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

About Colgate Palmolive Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Colgate Palmolive or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Colgate Palmolive may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Colgate's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Colgate Palmolive and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Colgate Palmolive fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization71.9 B72.5 B
Colgate-Palmolive Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells consumer products worldwide. Colgate-Palmolive Company was founded in 1806 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Colgate Palmolive operates under Household Personal Products classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 33800 people.

Colgate Palmolive Investment Opportunity

Colgate-Palmolive has a volatility of 1.46 and is 1.01 times more volatile than DOW. 12  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Colgate Palmolive. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Colgate-Palmolive is lower than 12 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Colgate-Palmolive to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Colgate Palmolive to be traded at $79.33 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what Colgate's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Colgate Palmolive returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Colgate Palmolive will be expected to be smaller as well.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Colgate-Palmolive and DJI is Poor diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Colgate-Palmolive and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Colgate Palmolive Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Colgate Palmolive's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Colgate Palmolive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Colgate Palmolive stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1326
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.2024
Mean Deviation1.05
Semi Deviation1.43
Downside Deviation1.61
Coefficient Of Variation1073.47
Standard Deviation1.44
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Colgate Palmolive Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Colgate Palmolive as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Colgate Palmolive's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Colgate Palmolive's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Colgate-Palmolive.
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Colgate-Palmolive information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Colgate Palmolive's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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When running Colgate-Palmolive price analysis, check to measure Colgate Palmolive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Colgate Palmolive is operating at the current time. Most of Colgate Palmolive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Colgate Palmolive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Colgate Palmolive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Colgate Palmolive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Colgate Palmolive's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colgate Palmolive. If investors know Colgate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colgate Palmolive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.17
Market Capitalization
67.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.013
Return On Assets
0.15
Return On Equity
0.32
The market value of Colgate-Palmolive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colgate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colgate Palmolive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colgate Palmolive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colgate Palmolive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colgate Palmolive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colgate Palmolive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Colgate Palmolive value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colgate Palmolive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.