Core Molding Technologies Stock Volatility
| CMT Stock | USD 19.27 0.21 1.10% |
We consider Core Molding not too volatile. Core Molding Technologies secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0692, which signifies that the company had a 0.0692% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Core Molding Technologies, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Core Molding's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0575, downside deviation of 2.68, and Mean Deviation of 1.88 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Key indicators related to Core Molding's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Core Molding Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Core daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Core's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Core Molding volatility.
Core |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Core Molding can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Core Molding at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Core stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Core Molding's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Core Stock
| 0.61 | DNMR | Danimer Scientific Financial Report 8th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Core Stock
| 0.56 | CC | Chemours Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Core Molding Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Core Molding's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Core stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Core stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Core Molding's beta of 1.83 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Core Molding stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Core Molding Technologies currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Core Molding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Core Molding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Core Molding Technologies Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Core Molding correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Core Beta |
Core standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.52 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Core Molding's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Core Molding's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in core stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Core Molding.
Core Molding Technologies Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Core Molding stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Core Molding's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Core Molding's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Core Molding's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Core Molding's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Core Molding's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Core Molding's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Core Molding's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Core Molding Technologies Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Core Molding Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.8309 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Core Molding will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Core Molding or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Core Molding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Core stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Core Molding Technologies has an alpha of 0.1033, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Core Molding Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Core Molding Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Core Molding is 1445.47. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.36 and standard deviation of 2.52. The mean deviation of Core Molding Technologies is currently at 1.93. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Core Molding Stock Return Volatility
Core Molding historical daily return volatility represents how much of Core Molding stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 2.5214% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6219% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Core Molding Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Core Molding or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Core Molding may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Core's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Core Molding and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Core Molding fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | -1.8 M | -1.7 M | |
| Market Cap | 61.7 M | 64.8 M |
Core Molding's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Core Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Core Molding's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Core Molding's volatility to invest better
Higher Core Molding's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Core Molding Technologies stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Core Molding Technologies stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Core Molding Technologies investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Core Molding's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Core Molding's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Core Molding Investment Opportunity
Core Molding Technologies has a volatility of 2.52 and is 4.06 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Core Molding. You can use Core Molding Technologies to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Core Molding to be traded at $21.2 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Core Molding Technologies and NYA is 0.47 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Core Molding Technologies and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Core Molding Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Core Molding's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Core Molding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Core Molding stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0575 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1119 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1258.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Core Molding Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Core Molding as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Core Molding's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Core Molding's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Core Molding Technologies.
When determining whether Core Molding Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Core Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Core Molding Technologies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Core Molding Technologies Stock: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Core Molding Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Core Stock analysis
When running Core Molding's price analysis, check to measure Core Molding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Core Molding is operating at the current time. Most of Core Molding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Core Molding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Core Molding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Core Molding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Core Molding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Core Molding. If investors know Core will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Core Molding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share 2.31 | Revenue Per Share 41.841 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets 0.082 |
The market value of Core Molding Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Core that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Core Molding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Core Molding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Core Molding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Core Molding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Core Molding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Core Molding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Core Molding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.