Cosmos Health Stock Volatility
| COSM Stock | USD 0.63 0.01 1.56% |
Cosmos Health secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the company had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cosmos Health exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cosmos Health's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), mean deviation of 3.03, and Standard Deviation of 4.26 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Cosmos Health's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Cosmos Health Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Cosmos daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Cosmos's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Cosmos Health volatility.
Cosmos |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Cosmos Health can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Cosmos Health at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Cosmos stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Cosmos Health's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
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Moving against Cosmos Stock
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Cosmos Health Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Cosmos Health's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Cosmos stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Cosmos stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Cosmos Health's beta of 0.47 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Cosmos Health stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Cosmos Health exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.94 and kurtosis of 2.54. Cosmos Health is a potential penny stock. Although Cosmos Health may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Cosmos Health. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Cosmos instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Cosmos Health Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Cosmos Health correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Cosmos Beta |
Cosmos standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.29 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Cosmos Health's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Cosmos Health's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in cosmos stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Cosmos Health.
Cosmos Health Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Cosmos Health stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Cosmos Health's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Cosmos Health's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Cosmos Health's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Cosmos Health's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Cosmos Health's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Cosmos Health's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Cosmos Health's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Cosmos Health Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Cosmos Health Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosmos Health has a beta of 0.4726 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cosmos Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cosmos Health will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cosmos Health or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cosmos Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cosmos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Cosmos Health has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Cosmos Health Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Cosmos Health Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Cosmos Health is -645.25. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 18.37 and standard deviation of 4.29. The mean deviation of Cosmos Health is currently at 2.97. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.88 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Cosmos Health Stock Return Volatility
Cosmos Health historical daily return volatility represents how much of Cosmos Health stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 4.2859% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6214% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Cosmos Health Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Cosmos Health or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Cosmos Health may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Cosmos's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Cosmos Health and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Cosmos Health fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 724.6 K | 648.9 K | |
| Market Cap | 7.9 M | 7.5 M |
Cosmos Health's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Cosmos Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Cosmos Health's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Cosmos Health's volatility to invest better
Higher Cosmos Health's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Cosmos Health stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Cosmos Health stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Cosmos Health investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Cosmos Health's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Cosmos Health's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Cosmos Health Investment Opportunity
Cosmos Health has a volatility of 4.29 and is 6.92 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Cosmos Health is lower than 37 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Cosmos Health to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Cosmos Health to be traded at $0.6111 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Cosmos Health and NYA is 0.07 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cosmos Health and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Cosmos Health Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cosmos Health's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cosmos Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Cosmos Health stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.79) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (506.81) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.26 | |||
| Variance | 18.15 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Cosmos Health Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Cosmos Health as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Cosmos Health's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Cosmos Health's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Cosmos Health.
When determining whether Cosmos Health is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cosmos Health's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cosmos Health's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cosmos Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cosmos Health. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. To learn how to invest in Cosmos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cosmos Health guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for Cosmos Stock analysis
When running Cosmos Health's price analysis, check to measure Cosmos Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cosmos Health is operating at the current time. Most of Cosmos Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cosmos Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cosmos Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cosmos Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cosmos Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosmos Health. If investors know Cosmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cosmos Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.23) | Revenue Per Share 5.072 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.067 | Return On Assets (0.17) | Return On Equity (0.63) |
The market value of Cosmos Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosmos Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosmos Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cosmos Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosmos Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cosmos Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cosmos Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cosmos Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.