Americas Car Mart Stock Volatility

CRMT Stock  USD 60.24  2.25  3.60%   
Americas Car-Mart secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0741, which signifies that the company had -0.0741% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our philosophy in foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Americas Car Mart exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please confirm Americas Car's risk adjusted performance of 0.025, and Mean Deviation of 2.93 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Americas Car's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Americas Car Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Americas daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Americas's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Americas Car volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Americas Car can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Americas Car at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Americas stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Americas Car's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Americas Stock

  0.69W Wayfair Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.61DLTH Duluth Holdings Financial Report 6th of June 2024 PairCorr

Americas Car Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Americas Car's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Americas stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Americas stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Americas Car's beta of 3.09 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Americas Car stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Americas Car Mart shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Americas Car Mart further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Americas Car future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Americas Car's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Americas Car's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Americas Car-Mart Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Americas Car correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Americas Beta

    
  3.09  
Americas standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.47  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Americas Car's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Americas Car's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in americas stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Americas Car.

Americas Car-Mart Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Americas Car stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Americas Car's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Americas Car's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Americas Car's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Americas Car's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Americas Car's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Americas Car's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Americas Car's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Americas Car-Mart Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Americas Car Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.0904 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Americas Car will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Americas Car or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Americas Car's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Americas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Americas Car-Mart is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Americas Car's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how americas stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Americas Car Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Americas Car Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Americas Car or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Americas Car's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Americas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Americas Car is -1350.03. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 12.07 and standard deviation of 3.47. The mean deviation of Americas Car Mart is currently at 2.68. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.31
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.09
σ
Overall volatility
3.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Americas Car Stock Return Volatility

Americas Car historical daily return volatility represents how much of Americas Car stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 3.4735% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5953% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Americas Car Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Americas Car or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Americas Car may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Americas's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Americas Car and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Americas Car fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Selling And Marketing Expenses6.7 M4.4 M
Americas Car's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Americas Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Americas Car's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Americas Car's volatility to invest better

Higher Americas Car's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Americas Car-Mart stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Americas Car-Mart stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Americas Car-Mart investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Americas Car's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Americas Car's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Americas Car Investment Opportunity

Americas Car Mart has a volatility of 3.47 and is 5.78 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 30  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Americas Car. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Americas Car Mart is lower than 30 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Americas Car Mart to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Americas Car to be traded at $57.83 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between Americas Car-Mart and NYA is 0.5 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Americas Car-Mart and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Americas Car Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Americas Car's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Americas Car's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Americas Car stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Americas Car Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Americas Car as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Americas Car's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Americas Car's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Americas Car Mart.
When determining whether Americas Car-Mart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Americas Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Americas Car Mart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Americas Car Mart Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Americas Car Mart. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Americas Stock analysis

When running Americas Car's price analysis, check to measure Americas Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Car is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Americas Car's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Americas Car. If investors know Americas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Americas Car listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Earnings Share
(4.67)
Revenue Per Share
221.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
0.0098
The market value of Americas Car-Mart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Americas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Americas Car's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Americas Car's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Americas Car's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Americas Car's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Americas Car's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Americas Car is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Americas Car's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.