Dream Finders Homesinc Stock Volatility
DFH Stock | USD 35.54 0.92 2.52% |
Dream Finders appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Dream Finders HomesInc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0617, which denotes the company had a 0.0617% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Dream Finders HomesInc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Dream Finders' Mean Deviation of 3.09, downside deviation of 4.29, and Semi Deviation of 4.11 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Dream Finders' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Dream Finders Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Dream daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Dream's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Dream Finders volatility.
Dream |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Dream Finders can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Dream Finders at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Dream stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Dream Finders' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Dream Stock
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0.92 | BLD | Topbuild Corp Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Dream Stock
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0.5 | GPRO | GoPro Inc Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
0.47 | FOSL | Fossil Group | PairCorr |
Dream Finders Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Dream Finders' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Dream stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Dream stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Dream Finders's beta of 3.43 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Dream Finders stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Dream Finders HomesInc exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dream Finders' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dream Finders' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Dream Finders HomesInc Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Dream Finders correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Dream Beta |
Dream standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.05 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Dream Finders's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Dream Finders' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in dream stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Dream Finders.
Using Dream Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on Dream Finders grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Dream Finders at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Dream Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Dream Finders' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Dream Finders will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
Dream Finders' PUT expiring on 2024-05-17
Profit |
Dream Finders Price At Expiration |
Current Dream Finders Insurance Chain
Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $45.0 | -0.7052 | 0.0464 | 18 | 2024-05-17 | 6.7 - 10.2 | 4.3 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $40.0 | -0.6598 | 0.056 | 118 | 2024-05-17 | 3.8 - 4.8 | 4.8 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $35.0 | -0.3595 | 0.0667 | 161 | 2024-05-17 | 1.4 - 1.6 | 2.55 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $30.0 | -0.1368 | 0.0302 | 134 | 2024-05-17 | 0.1 - 1.0 | 0.71 | View |
Dream Finders HomesInc Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Dream Finders stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Dream Finders' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Dream Finders' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Dream Finders' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Dream Finders' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Dream Finders' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Dream Finders' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Dream Finders' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Dream Finders HomesInc Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Dream Finders Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.4292 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dream Finders will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dream Finders or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dream Finders' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dream stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Dream Finders HomesInc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Dream Finders Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Dream Finders Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Dream Finders is 1620.36. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 16.44 and standard deviation of 4.05. The mean deviation of Dream Finders HomesInc is currently at 3.05. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Dream Finders Stock Return Volatility
Dream Finders historical daily return volatility represents how much of Dream Finders stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 4.0544% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Dream Finders Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Dream Finders or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Dream Finders may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Dream's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Dream Finders and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Dream Finders fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Market Cap | 3.3 B | 3.5 B |
Dream Finders' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Dream Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Dream Finders' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Dream Finders' volatility to invest better
Higher Dream Finders' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Dream Finders HomesInc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Dream Finders HomesInc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Dream Finders HomesInc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Dream Finders' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Dream Finders' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Dream Finders Investment Opportunity
Dream Finders HomesInc has a volatility of 4.05 and is 6.33 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 35 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Dream Finders. You can use Dream Finders HomesInc to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Dream Finders to be traded at $34.12 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Dream Finders HomesInc and NYA is 0.52 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Dream Finders HomesInc and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Dream Finders Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dream Finders' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dream Finders' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Dream Finders stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0437 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0746 | |||
Mean Deviation | 3.09 | |||
Semi Deviation | 4.11 | |||
Downside Deviation | 4.29 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 1767.92 | |||
Standard Deviation | 4.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Dream Finders Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Dream Finders as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Dream Finders' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Dream Finders' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Dream Finders HomesInc.
When determining whether Dream Finders HomesInc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Dream Finders' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dream Finders Homesinc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dream Finders Homesinc Stock: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Dream Finders HomesInc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the Dream Finders HomesInc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dream Finders' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
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When running Dream Finders' price analysis, check to measure Dream Finders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dream Finders is operating at the current time. Most of Dream Finders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dream Finders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dream Finders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dream Finders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dream Finders' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dream Finders. If investors know Dream will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dream Finders listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.288 | Earnings Share 2.79 | Revenue Per Share 40.279 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 | Return On Assets 0.1084 |
The market value of Dream Finders HomesInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dream that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dream Finders' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dream Finders' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dream Finders' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dream Finders' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dream Finders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dream Finders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dream Finders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.