Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Stock Volatility

DNA Stock  USD 0.85  0.02  2.78%   
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0865, which attests that the entity had a -0.0865% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Ginkgo Bioworks' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), market risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Standard Deviation of 5.13 to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Ginkgo Bioworks' volatility include:
60 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
60 Days Economic Sensitivity
Ginkgo Bioworks Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ginkgo daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ginkgo's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ginkgo Bioworks volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Ginkgo Bioworks can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Ginkgo Bioworks at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Ginkgo stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Ginkgo Bioworks' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Ginkgo Bioworks Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ginkgo Bioworks' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ginkgo stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ginkgo stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ginkgo Bioworks's beta of 4.03 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ginkgo Bioworks stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.26 and kurtosis of -0.07. Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is a potential penny stock. Although Ginkgo Bioworks may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ginkgo instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ginkgo Bioworks correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Ginkgo Beta

    
  4.03  
Ginkgo standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  5.21  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Ginkgo Bioworks's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Ginkgo Bioworks' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ginkgo stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Ginkgo Bioworks.

Using Ginkgo Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Ginkgo Bioworks grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Ginkgo Bioworks at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Ginkgo Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Ginkgo Bioworks' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Ginkgo Bioworks will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Ginkgo Bioworks' PUT expiring on 2024-05-17

   Profit   
       Ginkgo Bioworks Price At Expiration  

Current Ginkgo Bioworks Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-05-17 PUT at $1.5-0.71080.6304952024-05-170.6 - 0.80.55View
Put
2024-05-17 PUT at $1.0-0.74292.026329812024-05-170.15 - 0.20.15View
View All Ginkgo Bioworks Options

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ginkgo Bioworks stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ginkgo Bioworks' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ginkgo Bioworks' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ginkgo Bioworks' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Ginkgo Bioworks' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ginkgo Bioworks' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ginkgo Bioworks' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ginkgo Bioworks' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Ginkgo Bioworks Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.0337 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ginkgo Bioworks will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ginkgo Bioworks or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ginkgo Bioworks' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ginkgo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ginkgo Bioworks' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how ginkgo stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Ginkgo Bioworks Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ginkgo Bioworks Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Ginkgo Bioworks is -1155.95. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 27.13 and standard deviation of 5.21. The mean deviation of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is currently at 4.22. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.72
β
Beta against NYSE Composite4.03
σ
Overall volatility
5.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Ginkgo Bioworks Stock Return Volatility

Ginkgo Bioworks historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ginkgo Bioworks stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 5.209% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6321% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Ginkgo Bioworks Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ginkgo Bioworks or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ginkgo Bioworks may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ginkgo's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ginkgo Bioworks and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ginkgo Bioworks fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses-86.4 M-90.7 M
Market Cap3.3 B3.1 B
Ginkgo Bioworks' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Ginkgo Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Ginkgo Bioworks' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Ginkgo Bioworks' volatility to invest better

Higher Ginkgo Bioworks' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Ginkgo Bioworks' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Ginkgo Bioworks' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Ginkgo Bioworks Investment Opportunity

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings has a volatility of 5.21 and is 8.27 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 46 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Ginkgo Bioworks. You can use Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Ginkgo Bioworks to be traded at $0.812 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings and NYA is 0.49 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Ginkgo Bioworks Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ginkgo Bioworks' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ginkgo Bioworks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ginkgo Bioworks stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ginkgo Bioworks Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ginkgo Bioworks as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ginkgo Bioworks' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ginkgo Bioworks' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings.
When determining whether Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ginkgo Bioworks' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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Is Ginkgo Bioworks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ginkgo Bioworks. If investors know Ginkgo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ginkgo Bioworks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.46)
Revenue Per Share
0.129
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.65)
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.63)
The market value of Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ginkgo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ginkgo Bioworks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ginkgo Bioworks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ginkgo Bioworks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ginkgo Bioworks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ginkgo Bioworks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ginkgo Bioworks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ginkgo Bioworks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.