Ecb Bancorp Stock Volatility
| ECBK Stock | USD 12.22 0.39 3.09% |
ECB Bancorp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0986, which denotes the company had a -0.0986% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ECB Bancorp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ECB Bancorp's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.93), standard deviation of 1.09, and Variance of 1.19 to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to ECB Bancorp's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
ECB Bancorp Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ECB daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ECB's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ECB Bancorp volatility.
ECB |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as ECB Bancorp can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of ECB Bancorp at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase ECB stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of ECB Bancorp's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with ECB Stock
| 0.69 | AX | Axos Financial Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | BY | Byline Bancorp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | VABK | Virginia National | PairCorr |
Moving against ECB Stock
| 0.45 | NU | Nu Holdings Financial Report 20th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
ECB Bancorp Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
ECB Bancorp's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ECB stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ECB stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, ECB Bancorp's beta of 0.0298 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ECB Bancorp stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. ECB Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.06 and kurtosis of 1.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ECB Bancorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ECB Bancorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze ECB Bancorp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days ECB Bancorp correlation with market (NYSE Composite)ECB Beta |
ECB standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.06 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ECB Bancorp's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ECB Bancorp's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ecb stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ECB Bancorp.
ECB Bancorp Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which ECB Bancorp stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ECB Bancorp's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ECB Bancorp's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ECB Bancorp's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures ECB Bancorp's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ECB Bancorp's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ECB Bancorp's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ECB Bancorp's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ECB Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
ECB Bancorp Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ECB Bancorp has a beta of 0.0298 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ECB Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ECB Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ECB Bancorp or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ECB Bancorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ECB stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ECB Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an ECB Bancorp Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.ECB Bancorp Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of ECB Bancorp is -1014.21. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.12 and standard deviation of 1.06. The mean deviation of ECB Bancorp is currently at 0.74. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.61
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
ECB Bancorp Stock Return Volatility
ECB Bancorp historical daily return volatility represents how much of ECB Bancorp stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 1.059% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6294% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About ECB Bancorp Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of ECB Bancorp or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ECB Bancorp may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ECB's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ECB Bancorp and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ECB Bancorp fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 794 K | 768.6 K | |
| Market Cap | 106.3 M | 149 M |
ECB Bancorp's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ECB Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ECB Bancorp's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize ECB Bancorp's volatility to invest better
Higher ECB Bancorp's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ECB Bancorp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ECB Bancorp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ECB Bancorp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ECB Bancorp's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ECB Bancorp's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
ECB Bancorp Investment Opportunity
ECB Bancorp has a volatility of 1.06 and is 1.68 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 9 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than ECB Bancorp. You can use ECB Bancorp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of ECB Bancorp to be traded at $11.73 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between ECB Bancorp and NYA is 0.02 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ECB Bancorp and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
ECB Bancorp Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of ECB Bancorp's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ECB Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ECB Bancorp stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.93) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7762 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (6,084) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ECB Bancorp Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ECB Bancorp as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ECB Bancorp's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ECB Bancorp's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ECB Bancorp.
When determining whether ECB Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ECB Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ecb Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ecb Bancorp Stock: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ECB Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. For more information on how to buy ECB Stock please use our How to buy in ECB Stock guide.Note that the ECB Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ECB Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Complementary Tools for ECB Stock analysis
When running ECB Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure ECB Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ECB Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of ECB Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ECB Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ECB Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ECB Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ECB Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ECB Bancorp. If investors know ECB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ECB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share 2.958 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0038 |
The market value of ECB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ECB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ECB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ECB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ECB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ECB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ECB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ECB Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ECB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.