Meta Platforms Stock Volatility

FB -  USA Stock  

USD 196.23  2.69  1.39%

We consider Meta Platforms very steady. Meta Platforms has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0138, which conveys that the firm had 0.0138% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Meta Platforms, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please verify Meta Platforms mean deviation of 2.72 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0532%.
  
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Meta Platforms Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Meta Platforms daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Meta Platforms's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Meta Platforms volatility.

60 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Very Small

60 Days Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Meta Platforms can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Meta Platforms at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Meta Platforms stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Meta Platforms' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Meta Platforms

0.82KRKR36Kr HoldingsPairCorr
0.78ATHMAutohome ADR Financial Report 26th of May 2022 PairCorr
0.76ANETArista NetworksPairCorr
0.76IZEAIzea IncPairCorr
0.75ENPHEnphase EnergyPairCorr
0.75DOYUDouyu InternationalPairCorr

Meta Platforms Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Meta Platforms' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Meta Platforms stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Meta Platforms stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Meta Platforms's beta of 1.92 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Meta Platforms stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Let's try to break down what Meta Platforms's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Meta Platforms will likely underperform.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Meta Platforms Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Meta Platforms correlation with market (DOW)

Meta Platforms Beta

    
  1.92  
Meta Platforms standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.85  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Meta Platforms's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Meta Platforms stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Meta Platforms stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Meta Platforms.

Meta Platforms Implied Volatility

    
  56.48  
Meta Platforms' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Meta Platforms stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Meta Platforms' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Meta Platforms stock will not fluctuate a lot when Meta Platforms' options are near their expiration.

Meta Platforms Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Meta Platforms stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Meta Platforms' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Meta Platforms' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Meta Platforms' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Meta Platforms' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Meta Platforms' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Meta Platforms' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Developed by Larry Williams, the Weighted Close is the average of Meta Platforms high, low and close of a chart with the close values weighted twice. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes only Meta Platforms closing price as input.
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Meta Platforms Projected Return Density Against Market

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9197 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Meta Platforms will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Meta Platforms or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Meta Platforms stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Meta Platforms stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.1877, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Meta Platforms' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Meta Platforms stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Meta Platforms Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Meta Platforms or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Meta Platforms stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Meta Platforms stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Meta Platforms is 7245.75. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 14.85 and standard deviation of 3.85. The mean deviation of Meta Platforms is currently at 2.78. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.36
α
Alpha over DOW
0.19
β
Beta against DOW1.92
σ
Overall volatility
3.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.0224

Meta Platforms Stock Return Volatility

Meta Platforms historical daily return volatility represents how much Meta Platforms stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 3.8536% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.3665% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

About Meta Platforms Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Meta Platforms or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Meta Platforms may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Meta Platforms's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Meta Platforms and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Meta Platforms fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization935.6 B1009.5 B
Meta Platforms, Inc. develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, wearables, and in-home devices worldwide. Meta Platforms, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California. Meta Platforms operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 77805 people.

Nearest Meta Platforms long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Meta Platforms' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Meta Platforms. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Meta Platformsusing the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Meta Platforms over a specific time period.
View All Meta Platforms options
2022-05-27 CALL at $100.0 is a CALL option contract on Meta Platforms' common stock with a strick price of 100.0 expiring on 2022-05-27. The contract was last traded on 2022-05-23 at 12:33:06 for $96.05 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $96.05, and an ask price of $96.5. The implied volatility as of the 24th of May is 303.7032.
 Profit 
Share
      Meta Platforms Price At Expiration 

Meta Platforms Investment Opportunity

Meta Platforms has a volatility of 3.85 and is 2.81 times more volatile than DOW. 33  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Meta Platforms. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Meta Platforms is lower than 33 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Meta Platforms to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Meta Platforms to be traded at $215.85 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what Meta Platforms's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Meta Platforms will likely underperform.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Meta Platforms and DJI is Poor diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Meta Platforms and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Meta Platforms Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Meta Platforms' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meta Platforms' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Meta Platforms stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.00445)
Mean Deviation2.72
Coefficient Of Variation(21,305)
Standard Deviation3.78
Variance14.29
Information Ratio0.0224
Jensen Alpha0.1877
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Meta Platforms Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Meta Platforms as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Meta Platforms' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Meta Platforms' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Meta Platforms.
Please check Investing Opportunities. Note that the Meta Platforms information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Meta Platforms' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Is Meta Platforms' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Meta Platforms. If investors know Meta Platforms will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Meta Platforms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Meta Platforms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Meta Platforms that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Meta Platforms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Meta Platforms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Meta Platforms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Meta Platforms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Meta Platforms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Meta Platforms value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meta Platforms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.