FTI Consulting Stock Volatility

FCN
 Stock
  

USD 172.82  2.26  1.32%   

We consider FTI Consulting very steady. FTI Consulting secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0539, which denotes the company had 0.0539% of return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. Our viewpoint regarding predicting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for FTI Consulting, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm FTI Consulting downside deviation of 4.58, and Mean Deviation of 1.61 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%.
  
FTI Consulting Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of FTI Consulting daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use FTI Consulting's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of FTI Consulting volatility.

30 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as FTI Consulting can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of FTI Consulting at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase FTI Consulting stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of FTI Consulting's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving against FTI Consulting

-0.68AQMSAqua MetalsPairCorr

FTI Consulting Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

FTI Consulting's beta coefficient measures the volatility of FTI Consulting stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents FTI Consulting stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, FTI Consulting's beta of 0.19 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk FTI Consulting stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
FTI Consulting shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect FTI Consulting further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of FTI Consulting future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FTI Consulting's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FTI Consulting's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze FTI Consulting Demand Trend
Check current 90 days FTI Consulting correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

FTI Consulting Beta

    
  0.19  
FTI Consulting standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.04  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by FTI Consulting's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of FTI Consulting's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in fti consulting stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in FTI Consulting.

Using FTI Consulting Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on FTI Consulting grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of FTI Consulting at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of FTI Consulting Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge FTI Consulting's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding FTI Consulting will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

FTI Consulting's PUT expiring on 2022-12-16

   Profit   
Share
       FTI Consulting Price At Expiration  

Current FTI Consulting Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $185.0-0.80950.021572022-12-1611.8 - 14.838.7View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $180.0-0.75590.03322022-12-166.9 - 9.810.77View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $175.0-0.5650.038752022-12-164.2 - 6.15.3View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $170.0-0.37350.0362482022-12-161.7 - 3.94.3View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $165.0-0.24010.0253362022-12-160.85 - 2.752.45View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $160.0-0.15720.017172022-12-160.0 - 2.051.2View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $155.0-0.10140.0114192022-12-160.05 - 1.51.25View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $150.0-0.15950.00972022-12-160.05 - 4.81.95View
Put
2022-12-16 PUT at $145.0-0.14180.0072502022-12-160.1 - 4.82.0View
View All FTI Consulting Options

FTI Consulting Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which FTI Consulting stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with FTI Consulting's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of FTI Consulting's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of FTI Consulting's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures FTI Consulting's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict FTI Consulting's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for FTI Consulting's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on FTI Consulting's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. FTI Consulting Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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FTI Consulting Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon FTI Consulting has a beta of 0.1855 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FTI Consulting average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FTI Consulting will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FTI Consulting or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FTI Consulting's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FTI Consulting stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.1426, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
FTI Consulting's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how fti consulting stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a FTI Consulting Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Stock's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

FTI Consulting Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FTI Consulting or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FTI Consulting's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FTI Consulting stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of FTI Consulting is 1853.75. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 9.23 and standard deviation of 3.04. The mean deviation of FTI Consulting is currently at 1.63. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 1.49
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.0299

FTI Consulting Stock Return Volatility

FTI Consulting historical daily return volatility represents how much of FTI Consulting stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 3.0376% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 1.5095% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About FTI Consulting Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of FTI Consulting or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of FTI Consulting may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to FTI Consulting's beta indicator, it measures the risk of FTI Consulting and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of FTI Consulting fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization5.3 B4.2 B

FTI Consulting Investment Opportunity

FTI Consulting has a volatility of 3.04 and is 2.01 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 26  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than FTI Consulting. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of FTI Consulting is lower than 26 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use FTI Consulting to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of FTI Consulting to be traded at $190.1 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between FTI Consulting and NYA is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding FTI Consulting and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

FTI Consulting Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of FTI Consulting's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FTI Consulting's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of FTI Consulting stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

FTI Consulting Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against FTI Consulting as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. FTI Consulting's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, FTI Consulting's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to FTI Consulting.
Please check Investing Opportunities. Note that the FTI Consulting information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FTI Consulting's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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Is FTI Consulting's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FTI Consulting. If investors know FTI Consulting will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FTI Consulting listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.097
Market Capitalization
5.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0583
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of FTI Consulting is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FTI Consulting that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FTI Consulting's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FTI Consulting's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FTI Consulting's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FTI Consulting's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FTI Consulting's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FTI Consulting value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FTI Consulting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.