Geely Automobile Holdings Stock Volatility

GELYF Stock  USD 1.16  0.07  5.69%   
Geely Automobile appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Geely Automobile Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.11, which attests that the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Geely Automobile Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Geely Automobile's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.6513, risk adjusted performance of 0.0559, and Downside Deviation of 2.45 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Geely Automobile's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
180 Days Economic Sensitivity
Geely Automobile Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Geely daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Geely's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Geely Automobile volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Geely Automobile can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Geely Automobile at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Geely stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Geely Automobile's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Geely Automobile Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Geely Automobile's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Geely pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Geely pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Geely Automobile's beta of 0.29 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Geely Automobile pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Geely Automobile Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Geely Automobile Holdings is a potential penny stock. Although Geely Automobile may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Geely Automobile Holdings. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Geely instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Geely Automobile Holdings Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Geely Automobile correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Geely Beta

    
  0.29  
Geely standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.62  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Geely Automobile's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Geely Automobile's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in geely pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Geely Automobile.

Geely Automobile Holdings Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Geely Automobile pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Geely Automobile's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Geely Automobile's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Geely Automobile's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Geely Automobile's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Geely Automobile's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Geely Automobile's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Geely Automobile's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Geely Automobile Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Geely Automobile Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Geely Automobile has a beta of 0.2926 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Geely Automobile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Geely Automobile Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Geely Automobile or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Geely Automobile's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Geely pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Geely Automobile Holdings has an alpha of 0.1722, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Geely Automobile's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how geely pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Geely Automobile Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Geely Automobile Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Geely Automobile is 904.52. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.85 and standard deviation of 2.62. The mean deviation of Geely Automobile Holdings is currently at 1.95. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.29
σ
Overall volatility
2.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Geely Automobile Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Geely Automobile historical daily return volatility represents how much of Geely Automobile pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 2.617% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6196% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Geely Automobile Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Geely Automobile or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Geely Automobile may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Geely's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Geely Automobile and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Geely Automobile fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Geely Automobile Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automobile manufacturer primarily in the Peoples Republic of China. It operates in Malaysia, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Northern Europe, the Philippines, Central and South America, Africa, and other countries. Geely Automobile operates under Auto Manufacturers classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 47000 people.
Geely Automobile's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Geely Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Geely Automobile's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Geely Automobile's volatility to invest better

Higher Geely Automobile's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Geely Automobile Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Geely Automobile Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Geely Automobile Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Geely Automobile's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Geely Automobile's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Geely Automobile Investment Opportunity

Geely Automobile Holdings has a volatility of 2.62 and is 4.23 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Geely Automobile Holdings is lower than 23 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Geely Automobile Holdings to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Geely Automobile to be traded at $1.102 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Geely Automobile Holdings and NYA is 0.07 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Geely Automobile Holdings and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Geely Automobile Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Geely Automobile's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Geely Automobile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Geely Automobile pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Geely Automobile Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Geely Automobile as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Geely Automobile's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Geely Automobile's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Geely Automobile Holdings.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geely Automobile Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Geely Pink Sheet analysis

When running Geely Automobile's price analysis, check to measure Geely Automobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geely Automobile is operating at the current time. Most of Geely Automobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geely Automobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geely Automobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geely Automobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Geely Automobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geely Automobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geely Automobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.