hopTo Inc Volatility
| HPTODelisted Stock | USD 0.36 0.00 0.00% |
HopTo appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. hopTo Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating HopTo's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.71% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize HopTo's Downside Deviation of 15.63, risk adjusted performance of 0.0219, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to HopTo's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
HopTo Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of HopTo daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use HopTo's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of HopTo volatility.
HopTo |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as HopTo can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of HopTo at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase HopTo stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of HopTo's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
HopTo Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
HopTo's beta coefficient measures the volatility of HopTo pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents HopTo pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, HopTo's beta of -1.17 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk HopTo pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. hopTo Inc is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. hopTo Inc is a potential penny stock. Although HopTo may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in hopTo Inc. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on HopTo instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze hopTo Inc Demand TrendCheck current 90 days HopTo correlation with market (NYSE Composite)HopTo Beta |
HopTo standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.39 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by HopTo's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of HopTo's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in hopto pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in HopTo.
hopTo Inc Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which HopTo pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with HopTo's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of HopTo's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of HopTo's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures HopTo's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict HopTo's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for HopTo's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on HopTo's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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HopTo Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days hopTo Inc has a beta of -1.1747 . This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding hopTo Inc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, HopTo is expected to outperform its benchmark.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to HopTo or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that HopTo's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a HopTo pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
HopTo Inc has an alpha of 0.2594, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a HopTo Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.HopTo Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of HopTo is 621.23. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 19.25 and standard deviation of 4.39. The mean deviation of hopTo Inc is currently at 2.06. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
HopTo Pink Sheet Return Volatility
HopTo historical daily return volatility represents how much of HopTo pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 4.3878% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.633% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About HopTo Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of HopTo or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of HopTo may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to HopTo's beta indicator, it measures the risk of HopTo and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of HopTo fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.hopTo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells application publishing software in the United States, Brazil, Japan, Germany, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company was formerly known as GraphOn Corporation and changed its name to hopTo Inc. in September 2013. hopTo Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Concord, New Hampshire. HOPTO INC operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 12 people.
HopTo's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on HopTo Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much HopTo's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize HopTo's volatility to invest better
Higher HopTo's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of hopTo Inc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. hopTo Inc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of hopTo Inc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in HopTo's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of HopTo's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
HopTo Investment Opportunity
hopTo Inc has a volatility of 4.39 and is 6.97 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 38 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than HopTo. You can use hopTo Inc to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of HopTo to be traded at $0.3564 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between hopTo Inc and NYA is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding hopTo Inc and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
HopTo Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of HopTo's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HopTo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of HopTo pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0219 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.32 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 15.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4915.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
HopTo Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against HopTo as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. HopTo's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, HopTo's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to hopTo Inc.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Other Consideration for investing in HopTo Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in hopTo Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HopTo's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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