# Horizon OTC Stock Volatility

HRRB | - USA Stock | ## USD 9.20 0.04 0.44% |

We consider Horizon Bancorp not too volatile. Horizon Bancorp holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0777, which attests that the entity had 0.0777% of return per unit of risk over the last 2 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Horizon Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please check out Horizon Bancorp Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0732, market risk adjusted performance of (0.57), and Downside Deviation of 2.65 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%.

## Horizon Volatility | Horizon |

Horizon Bancorp OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Horizon daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Horizon's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Horizon Bancorp volatility.

### 270 Days Market Risk

### Chance of Distress

### 270 Days Economic Sensitivity

Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Horizon Bancorp can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Horizon Bancorp at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Horizon stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Horizon Bancorp's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

## Horizon Bancorp Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Horizon Bancorp's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Horizon otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Horizon otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Horizon Bancorp's beta of -0.18 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Horizon Bancorp otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.

Let's try to break down what Horizon's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Horizon Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Horizon Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. 2 Months Beta |Analyze Horizon Bancorp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Horizon Bancorp correlation with market (DOW)

Horizon standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

## Horizon Beta |

## Standard Deviation | 1.51 |

It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Horizon Bancorp's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Horizon Bancorp stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Horizon Bancorp stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Horizon Bancorp.

## Horizon Bancorp OTC Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Horizon Bancorp stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Horizon Bancorp's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Horizon Bancorp's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Horizon Bancorp's volatility:### Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Horizon Bancorp's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Horizon Bancorp's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.### Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Horizon Bancorp's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.Transformation |

The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of thirty-nine. Horizon Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input. View also all equity analysis or get more info about average price price transform indicator.

## Horizon Bancorp Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Horizon Bancorp has a beta of -0.1763 . This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Horizon Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Horizon Bancorp is likely to outperform the market.

Horizon Bancorp's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Horizon Bancorp stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point. Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Horizon Bancorp or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Horizon Bancorp stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Horizon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.

The company has an alpha of 0.0985, implying that it can generate a 0.0985 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |

Returns |

## What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:### Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.### Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.### The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.## Horizon Bancorp OTC Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Horizon Bancorp or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Horizon Bancorp stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Horizon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Horizon Bancorp is 1287.78. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.27 and standard deviation of 1.51. The mean deviation of Horizon Bancorp is currently at 0.78. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.92

α | Alpha over DOW | 0.1 | |

β | Beta against DOW | -0.18 | |

σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |

Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |

## Horizon Bancorp OTC Stock Return Volatility

Horizon Bancorp historical daily return volatility represents how much Horizon Bancorp stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 1.5063% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 0.9215% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.

Performance (%) |

Timeline |

## About Horizon Bancorp Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Horizon Bancorp or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Horizon Bancorp may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Horizon's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Horizon Bancorp and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Horizon Bancorp fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.

Please read more on our technical analysis page.Horizon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Community Bank that provides various banking services to commercial and consumer customers. Horizon Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Lake Havasu City, Arizona. Horizon Bancorp operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 88 people.## Horizon Bancorp Investment Opportunity

Horizon Bancorp has a volatility of 1.51 and is 1.64 times more volatile than DOW.

**12**of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Horizon Bancorp. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Horizon Bancorp is lower than**12 ()**of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Horizon Bancorp to enhance returns of your portfolios. The otc stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Horizon Bancorp to be traded at $9.66 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what Horizon's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Horizon Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Horizon Bancorp is likely to outperform the market.### Good diversification

The correlation between Horizon Bancorp Inc and DJI is

**Good diversification**for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Horizon Bancorp Inc and DJI in the same portfolio assuming nothing else is changed.## Horizon Bancorp Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Horizon Bancorp's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Horizon Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Horizon Bancorp stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0732 | |||

Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.57) | |||

Mean Deviation | 0.7514 | |||

Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||

Downside Deviation | 2.65 | |||

Coefficient Of Variation | 1317.58 | |||

Standard Deviation | 1.47 |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Horizon Bancorp Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.

The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Horizon Bancorp as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Horizon Bancorp's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Horizon Bancorp's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Horizon Bancorp.

Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Horizon Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Horizon Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Horizon Bancorp price analysis, check to measure Horizon Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Horizon Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Horizon Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Horizon Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Horizon Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Horizon Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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The market value of Horizon Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horizon Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horizon Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Horizon Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horizon Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Horizon Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horizon Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.