Infinity Stock Volatility

INFI -  USA Stock  

USD 2.46  0.06  2.38%

Infinity Pharmaceuti appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Infinity Pharmaceuti holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0644, which attests that the entity had 0.0644% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Infinity Pharmaceuti, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please utilize Infinity Pharmaceuti's Downside Deviation of 4.32, market risk adjusted performance of 3.35, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0891 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Infinity Volatility 

 
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Infinity Pharmaceuti Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Infinity daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Infinity's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Infinity Pharmaceuti volatility.

60 Days Market Risk

Very risky

Chance of Distress

60 Days Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Infinity Pharmaceuti can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Infinity Pharmaceuti at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Infinity stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Infinity Pharmaceuti's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Infinity Pharmaceuti's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Infinity stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Infinity stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Infinity Pharmaceuti's beta of 0.33 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Infinity Pharmaceuti stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Let's try to break down what Infinity's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Infinity Pharmaceuti returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infinity Pharmaceuti will be expected to be smaller as well.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Infinity Pharmaceuti Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Infinity Pharmaceuti correlation with market (DOW)

Infinity Beta

    
  0.33  
Infinity standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  6.42  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Infinity Pharmaceuti's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Infinity Pharmaceuti stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Infinity Pharmaceuti stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Infinity Pharmaceuti.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Implied Volatility

    
  41.66  
Infinity Pharmaceuti's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Infinity Pharmaceuti stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Infinity Pharmaceuti's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Infinity Pharmaceuti stock will not fluctuate a lot when Infinity Pharmaceuti's options are near their expiration.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Infinity Pharmaceuti stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Infinity Pharmaceuti's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Infinity Pharmaceuti's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Infinity Pharmaceuti's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Infinity Pharmaceuti's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Infinity Pharmaceuti's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Infinity Pharmaceuti's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Infinity Pharmaceuti Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input. View also all equity analysis or get more info about average price price transform indicator.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Infinity Pharmaceuti has a beta of 0.331 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Infinity Pharmaceuti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infinity Pharmaceuti will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Infinity Pharmaceuti or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Infinity Pharmaceuti stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Infinity stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 1.1032, implying that it can generate a 1.1 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Infinity Pharmaceuti's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Infinity Pharmaceuti stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Infinity Pharmaceuti or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Infinity Pharmaceuti stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Infinity stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Infinity Pharmaceuti is 1553.98. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 41.22 and standard deviation of 6.42. The mean deviation of Infinity Pharmaceuti is currently at 3.93. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.71
α
Alpha over DOW
1.10
β
Beta against DOW0.33
σ
Overall volatility
6.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Infinity Pharmaceuti Stock Return Volatility

Infinity Pharmaceuti historical daily return volatility represents how much Infinity Pharmaceuti stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 6.4201% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 0.7133% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

About Infinity Pharmaceuti Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Infinity Pharmaceuti or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Infinity Pharmaceuti may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Infinity's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Infinity Pharmaceuti and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Infinity Pharmaceuti fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Market Capitalization136.1 M139.7 M
Infinity Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing novel medicines for people with cancer. Infinity Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Infinity Pharmaceuti operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 23 people.

Nearest Infinity long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Infinity Pharmaceuti's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Infinity Pharmaceuti. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Infinity Pharmaceutiusing the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Infinity Pharmaceuti over a specific time period.
View All Infinity options
2021-11-19 CALL at $1.0 is a CALL option contract on Infinity Pharmaceuti's common stock with a strick price of 1.0 expiring on 2021-11-19. The contract was last traded on 2021-10-19 at 11:39:44 for $1.75 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.4, and an ask price of $1.6. The implied volatility as of the 28th of October is 263.6102.
 Profit 
Share
      Infinity Pharmaceuti Price At Expiration 

Infinity Pharmaceuti Investment Opportunity

Infinity Pharmaceuti has a volatility of 6.42 and is 9.04 times more volatile than DOW. 55  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Infinity Pharmaceuti. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Infinity Pharmaceuti is higher than 55 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Infinity Pharmaceuti to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Infinity Pharmaceuti to be traded at $2.36 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what Infinity's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Infinity Pharmaceuti returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infinity Pharmaceuti will be expected to be smaller as well.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Infinity Pharmaceuti and DJI is Significant diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Infinity Pharmaceuti and DJI in the same portfolio assuming nothing else is changed.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Infinity Pharmaceuti's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Infinity Pharmaceuti's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Infinity Pharmaceuti stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0891
Market Risk Adjusted Performance3.35
Mean Deviation5.12
Semi Deviation3.76
Downside Deviation4.32
Coefficient Of Variation886.63
Standard Deviation9.9
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Infinity Pharmaceuti Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Infinity Pharmaceuti as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Infinity Pharmaceuti's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Infinity Pharmaceuti's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Infinity Pharmaceuti.
Please see Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Infinity Pharmaceuti information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Infinity Pharmaceuti's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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When running Infinity Pharmaceuti price analysis, check to measure Infinity Pharmaceuti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infinity Pharmaceuti is operating at the current time. Most of Infinity Pharmaceuti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infinity Pharmaceuti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infinity Pharmaceuti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infinity Pharmaceuti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Infinity Pharmaceuti's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Infinity Pharmaceuti. If investors know Infinity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Infinity Pharmaceuti listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Infinity Pharmaceuti is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Infinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Infinity Pharmaceuti's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Infinity Pharmaceuti's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Infinity Pharmaceuti's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Infinity Pharmaceuti's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Infinity Pharmaceuti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Infinity Pharmaceuti value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infinity Pharmaceuti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.