JJill Stock Volatility

JILL
 Stock
  

USD 25.99  0.68  2.55%   

JJill appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. JJill Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.2, which attests that the entity had 0.2% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our approach into determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By examining JJill Inc technical indicators you can currently evaluate if the expected return of 0.62% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize JJill's Downside Deviation of 2.68, market risk adjusted performance of 1.99, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3325 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
  
JJill Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of JJill daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use JJill's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of JJill volatility.

390 Days Market Risk

Somewhat reliable

Chance of Distress

390 Days Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as JJill can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of JJill at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase JJill stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of JJill's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with JJill

+0.94BKEBuckle IncPairCorr
+0.75CTRNCiti TrendsPairCorr

Moving against JJill

-0.82BBBYBed Bath BeyondPairCorr

JJill Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

JJill's beta coefficient measures the volatility of JJill stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents JJill stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, JJill's beta of 0.33 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk JJill stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
JJill Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.2 and Jensen Alpha of 0.64. However, we advise investors to further question JJill Inc expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure JJill's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact JJill's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze JJill Inc Demand Trend
Check current 90 days JJill correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

JJill Beta

    
  0.33  
JJill standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.12  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by JJill's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of JJill's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in jjill stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in JJill.

JJill Inc Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which JJill stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with JJill's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of JJill's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of JJill's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures JJill's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict JJill's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for JJill's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on JJill's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. JJill Inc Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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JJill Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days JJill has a beta of 0.3343 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, JJill average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JJill Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to JJill or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that JJill's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a JJill stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.6414, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
JJill's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how jjill stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a JJill Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

JJill Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to JJill or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that JJill's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a JJill stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of JJill is 505.46. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 9.73 and standard deviation of 3.12. The mean deviation of JJill Inc is currently at 2.29. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 1.49
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.64
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.33
σ
Overall volatility
3.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

JJill Stock Return Volatility

JJill historical daily return volatility represents how much of JJill stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 3.1193% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 1.4849% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About JJill Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of JJill or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of JJill may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to JJill's beta indicator, it measures the risk of JJill and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of JJill fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization149.3 M99 M

JJill Investment Opportunity

JJill Inc has a volatility of 3.12 and is 2.11 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 27  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than JJill. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of JJill Inc is lower than 27 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use JJill Inc to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of JJill to be traded at $24.95 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between JJill Inc and NYA is 0.16 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding JJill Inc and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

JJill Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of JJill's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JJill's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of JJill stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

JJill Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against JJill as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. JJill's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, JJill's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to JJill Inc.
Please see Risk vs Return Analysis. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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When running JJill Inc price analysis, check to measure JJill's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JJill is operating at the current time. Most of JJill's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JJill's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JJill's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JJill to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is JJill's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JJill. If investors know JJill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JJill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.21) 
Market Capitalization
274.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.01) 
Return On Assets
0.1045
Return On Equity
(54.02) 
The market value of JJill Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JJill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JJill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JJill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JJill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JJill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JJill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JJill value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JJill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.