Lancaster Colony Stock Volatility

LANC Stock  USD 207.07  3.05  1.49%   
Lancaster Colony appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Lancaster Colony has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the firm had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Lancaster Colony, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Lancaster Colony's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1269, downside deviation of 1.41, and Mean Deviation of 1.08 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Lancaster Colony's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
360 Days Economic Sensitivity
Lancaster Colony Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Lancaster daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Lancaster's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Lancaster Colony volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Lancaster Colony can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Lancaster Colony at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Lancaster stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Lancaster Colony's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Lancaster Colony Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Lancaster Colony's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Lancaster stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Lancaster stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Lancaster Colony's beta of 1.39 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Lancaster Colony stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Lancaster Colony has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.9 and kurtosis of 16.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lancaster Colony's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lancaster Colony's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Lancaster Colony Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Lancaster Colony correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Lancaster Beta

    
  1.39  
Lancaster standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.9  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Lancaster Colony's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Lancaster Colony's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in lancaster stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Lancaster Colony.

Using Lancaster Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Lancaster Colony grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Lancaster Colony at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Lancaster Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Lancaster Colony's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Lancaster Colony will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Lancaster Colony's PUT expiring on 2024-04-19

   Profit   
       Lancaster Colony Price At Expiration  

Current Lancaster Colony Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $200.0-0.28280.024272024-04-190.1 - 5.07.0View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $195.0-0.22880.016522024-04-190.1 - 5.02.5View
View All Lancaster Colony Options

Lancaster Colony Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Lancaster Colony stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Lancaster Colony's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Lancaster Colony's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Lancaster Colony's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Lancaster Colony's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Lancaster Colony's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Lancaster Colony's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Lancaster Colony's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Lancaster Colony Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Lancaster Colony Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3876 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lancaster Colony will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lancaster Colony or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lancaster Colony's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lancaster stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Lancaster Colony has an alpha of 0.214, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Lancaster Colony's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how lancaster stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Lancaster Colony Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Lancaster Colony Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Lancaster Colony is 496.53. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.63 and standard deviation of 1.9. The mean deviation of Lancaster Colony is currently at 1.13. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.39
σ
Overall volatility
1.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Lancaster Colony Stock Return Volatility

Lancaster Colony historical daily return volatility represents how much of Lancaster Colony stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 1.9049% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5731% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Lancaster Colony Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Lancaster Colony or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Lancaster Colony may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Lancaster's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Lancaster Colony and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Lancaster Colony fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Selling And Marketing Expenses221.1 M160.1 M
Lancaster Colony's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Lancaster Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Lancaster Colony's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Lancaster Colony's volatility to invest better

Higher Lancaster Colony's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Lancaster Colony stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Lancaster Colony stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Lancaster Colony investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Lancaster Colony's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Lancaster Colony's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Lancaster Colony Investment Opportunity

Lancaster Colony has a volatility of 1.9 and is 3.33 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 16 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Lancaster Colony. You can use Lancaster Colony to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Lancaster Colony to be traded at $227.78 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between Lancaster Colony and NYA is 0.42 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lancaster Colony and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Lancaster Colony Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lancaster Colony's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lancaster Colony's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Lancaster Colony stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Lancaster Colony Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Lancaster Colony as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Lancaster Colony's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Lancaster Colony's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Lancaster Colony.
When determining whether Lancaster Colony offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lancaster Colony's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lancaster Colony Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lancaster Colony Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lancaster Colony. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For information on how to trade Lancaster Stock refer to our How to Trade Lancaster Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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Is Lancaster Colony's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lancaster Colony. If investors know Lancaster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lancaster Colony listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.043
Dividend Share
3.35
Earnings Share
4.68
Revenue Per Share
68.016
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.202
The market value of Lancaster Colony is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lancaster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lancaster Colony's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lancaster Colony's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lancaster Colony's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lancaster Colony's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lancaster Colony's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lancaster Colony is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lancaster Colony's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.