Lovesac Stock Volatility

LOVE -  USA Stock  

USD 67.52  4.93  6.80%

Lovesac appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Lovesac has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0781, which conveys that the firm had 0.0781% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Lovesac, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please exercise Lovesac's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3413, risk adjusted performance of 0.0689, and Downside Deviation of 4.07 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Lovesac Volatility 

 
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Lovesac Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Lovesac daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Lovesac's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Lovesac volatility.

360 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

360 Days Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Lovesac can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Lovesac at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Lovesac stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Lovesac's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Lovesac Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Lovesac's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Lovesac stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Lovesac stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Lovesac's beta of 1.12 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Lovesac stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Let's try to break down what Lovesac's beta means in this case. Lovesac returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lovesac is expected to follow.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Lovesac Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Lovesac correlation with market (DOW)

Lovesac Beta

    
  1.12  
Lovesac standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  4.76  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Lovesac's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Lovesac stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Lovesac stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Lovesac.

Lovesac Implied Volatility

    
  92.57  
Lovesac's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Lovesac stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lovesac's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lovesac stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lovesac's options are near their expiration.

Lovesac Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Lovesac stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Lovesac's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Lovesac's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Lovesac's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Lovesac's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Lovesac's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Lovesac's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Developed by Larry Williams, the Weighted Close is the average of Lovesac high, low and close of a chart with the close values weighted twice. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes only Lovesac closing price as input. View also all equity analysis or get more info about weighted close price price transform indicator.

Lovesac Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1172 . This indicates The Lovesac market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lovesac is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lovesac or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lovesac stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lovesac stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.4026, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Lovesac's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Lovesac stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Lovesac Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lovesac or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lovesac stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lovesac stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Lovesac is 1280.81. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 22.63 and standard deviation of 4.76. The mean deviation of The Lovesac is currently at 3.14. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.75
α
Alpha over DOW
0.40
β
Beta against DOW1.12
σ
Overall volatility
4.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Lovesac Stock Return Volatility

Lovesac historical daily return volatility represents how much Lovesac stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 4.7576% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 0.749% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

About Lovesac Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Lovesac or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Lovesac may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Lovesac's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Lovesac and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Lovesac fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Market Capitalization830.2 M691 M
The Lovesac Company designs, manufactures, and sells furniture. The Lovesac Company was founded in 1995 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut. Lovesac operates under Furnishings, Fixtures Appliances classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 369 people.

Nearest Lovesac long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Lovesac's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on The Lovesac. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lovesacusing the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in The Lovesac over a specific time period.
View All Lovesac options
2021-12-17 CALL at $30.0 is a CALL option contract on Lovesac's common stock with a strick price of 30.0 expiring on 2021-12-17. The contract was last traded on 2021-11-10 at 06:48:05 for $38.52 and, as of today, has 20 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $37.5, and an ask price of $39.1. The implied volatility as of the 27th of November is 231.5085.
 Profit 
Share
      Lovesac Price At Expiration 

Lovesac Investment Opportunity

The Lovesac has a volatility of 4.76 and is 6.35 times more volatile than DOW. 40  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Lovesac. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of The Lovesac is lower than 40 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use The Lovesac to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Lovesac to be traded at $64.14 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what Lovesac's beta means in this case. Lovesac returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lovesac is expected to follow.

Average diversification

The correlation between The Lovesac and DJI is Average diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding The Lovesac and DJI in the same portfolio assuming nothing else is changed.

Lovesac Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lovesac's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lovesac's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Lovesac stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0689
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.3413
Mean Deviation3.07
Semi Deviation3.64
Downside Deviation4.07
Coefficient Of Variation1232.63
Standard Deviation4.69
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Lovesac Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Lovesac as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Lovesac's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Lovesac's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to The Lovesac.
Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Lovesac information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lovesac's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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When running Lovesac price analysis, check to measure Lovesac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lovesac is operating at the current time. Most of Lovesac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lovesac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lovesac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lovesac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lovesac's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lovesac. If investors know Lovesac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lovesac listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lovesac is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lovesac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lovesac's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lovesac's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lovesac's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lovesac's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lovesac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lovesac value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lovesac's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.