Macys Inc Stock Volatility

M Stock  USD 19.04  0.03  0.16%   
We consider Macys not too volatile. Macys Inc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0413, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0413% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Macys, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Macys' Downside Deviation of 2.45, mean deviation of 2.05, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0343 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Key indicators related to Macys' volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
180 Days Economic Sensitivity
Macys Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Macys daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Macys's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Macys volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Macys' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Macys' managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Macys can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Macys at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Macys stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Macys' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Macys Stock

  0.64JD JD Inc Adr Financial Report 9th of May 2024 PairCorr

Moving against Macys Stock

  0.63LL LL Flooring HoldingsPairCorr
  0.57BQ Boqii Holding LimitedPairCorr
  0.52WEYS Weyco GroupPairCorr
  0.45DXLG Destination XL Group Financial Report 23rd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.44VSCO Victorias Secret Financial Report 29th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.41FL Foot Locker Sell-off TrendPairCorr

Macys Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Macys' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Macys stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Macys stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Macys's beta of 1.52 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Macys stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Macys Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Macys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Macys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Macys Inc Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Macys correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Macys Beta

    
  1.52  
Macys standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.92  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Macys's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Macys' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in macys stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Macys.

Using Macys Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Macys grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Macys at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Macys Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Macys' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Macys will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Macys' PUT expiring on 2024-04-19

   Profit   
       Macys Price At Expiration  

Current Macys Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $17.0-0.02360.050534762024-04-190.0 - 0.010.01View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $18.0-0.20660.208641122024-04-190.02 - 0.310.01View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $18.5-0.16370.434129472024-04-190.03 - 0.060.05View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $19.0-0.45920.880540212024-04-190.15 - 0.210.16View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $19.5-0.83310.53954592024-04-190.31 - 0.570.5View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $20.0-0.63470.162872562024-04-190.84 - 1.50.92View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $20.5-0.67240.13310492024-04-191.32 - 2.681.49View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $21.0-0.88560.12892732024-04-191.81 - 2.442.04View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $21.5-0.87730.106412024-04-192.11 - 2.572.75View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $22.0-0.90160.084812024-04-191.59 - 3.052.89View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $22.5-0.8190.082512024-04-192.95 - 4.553.45View
View All Macys Options

Macys Inc Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Macys stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Macys' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Macys' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Macys' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Macys' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Macys' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Macys' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Macys' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Macys Inc Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Macys Projected Return Density Against Market

Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5222 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Macys will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Macys or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Macys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Macys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Macys Inc has an alpha of 0.0247, implying that it can generate a 0.0247 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Macys' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how macys stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Macys Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Macys Stock Risk Measures

Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Macys is 2422.32. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.5 and standard deviation of 2.92. The mean deviation of Macys Inc is currently at 2.04. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.52
σ
Overall volatility
2.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Macys Stock Return Volatility

Macys historical daily return volatility represents how much of Macys stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.916% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6214% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Macys Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Macys or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Macys may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Macys's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Macys and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Macys fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses-282 M-267.9 M
Market Cap3.4 B6.2 B
Macys' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Macys Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Macys' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Macys' volatility to invest better

Higher Macys' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Macys Inc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Macys Inc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Macys Inc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Macys' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Macys' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Macys Investment Opportunity

Macys Inc has a volatility of 2.92 and is 4.71 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Macys Inc is lower than 25 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Macys Inc to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Macys to be traded at $19.99 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Macys Inc and NYA is 0.32 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Macys Inc and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Macys Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Macys' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Macys' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Macys stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Macys Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Macys as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Macys' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Macys' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Macys Inc.
When determining whether Macys Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Macys' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Macys' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Macys Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Macys Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Macys Stock analysis

When running Macys' price analysis, check to measure Macys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macys is operating at the current time. Most of Macys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Is Macys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macys. If investors know Macys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Macys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Dividend Share
0.662
Earnings Share
0.38
Revenue Per Share
87.039
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Macys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.