Victory Integrity Discovery Fund Volatility
| MMEAX Fund | USD 38.20 0.48 1.24% |
We consider Victory Integrity very steady. Victory Integrity owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0323, which indicates the fund had a 0.0323% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Victory Integrity Discovery, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Victory Integrity's Coefficient Of Variation of 146069.14, risk adjusted performance of 0.0058, and Semi Deviation of 1.42 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.045%. Key indicators related to Victory Integrity's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Victory Integrity Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Victory daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Victory's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Victory Integrity volatility.
Victory |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Victory Integrity can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Victory Integrity at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Victory stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Victory Integrity's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Victory Mutual Fund
| 0.73 | UINQX | Usaa Nasdaq 100 | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | SRVEX | Victory Diversified Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | SSGSX | Victory Sycamore Small | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | SBALX | Victory Strategic | PairCorr |
Victory Integrity Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Victory Integrity's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Victory mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Victory mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Victory Integrity's beta of 1.73 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Victory Integrity mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Victory Integrity Discovery has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.33 and kurtosis of 1.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Victory Integrity's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Victory Integrity's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Victory Integrity Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Victory Integrity correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Victory Beta |
Victory standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.39 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Victory Integrity's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Victory Integrity's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in victory mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Victory Integrity.
Victory Integrity Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Victory Integrity fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Victory Integrity's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Victory Integrity's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Victory Integrity's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures Victory Integrity's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Victory Integrity's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Victory Integrity's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Victory Integrity's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Victory Integrity Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Victory Integrity Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.7275 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Victory Integrity will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Victory Integrity or Victory Capital sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Victory Integrity's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Victory fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Victory Integrity Discovery has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Victory Integrity Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Victory Integrity Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Victory Integrity is 3095.97. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.94 and standard deviation of 1.39. The mean deviation of Victory Integrity Discovery is currently at 1.06. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Victory Integrity Mutual Fund Return Volatility
Victory Integrity historical daily return volatility represents how much of Victory Integrity fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 1.3941% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6245% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Victory Integrity Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Victory Integrity or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Victory Integrity may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Victory's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Victory Integrity and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Victory Integrity fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The adviser pursues the funds investment objective by investing at least 80 percent of the funds assets in equity securities of micro-capitalization companies. Micro-capitalization companies are those companies with market capitalizations at the time of purchase lower than the largest company in the bottom 75 percent of the Russell 2000 Index. Although the fund will be invested primarily in domestic securities, up to 25 percent of the funds assets may be invested in foreign securities, including depositary receipts such as ADRs and GDRs.
Victory Integrity's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Victory Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Victory Integrity's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Victory Integrity's volatility to invest better
Higher Victory Integrity's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Victory Integrity fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Victory Integrity fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Victory Integrity investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Victory Integrity's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Victory Integrity's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Victory Integrity Investment Opportunity
Victory Integrity Discovery has a volatility of 1.39 and is 2.24 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 12 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Victory Integrity. You can use Victory Integrity Discovery to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Victory Integrity to be traded at $37.05 in 90 days.Poor diversification
The correlation between Victory Integrity Discovery and NYA is 0.79 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Victory Integrity Discovery and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Victory Integrity Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Victory Integrity's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Victory Integrity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Victory Integrity mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0058 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0048 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 146069.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Victory Integrity Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Victory Integrity as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Victory Integrity's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Victory Integrity's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Victory Integrity Discovery.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Victory Integrity Discovery. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the Victory Integrity information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Victory Integrity's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.