MainStay Mutual Fund Volatility

MNEAX Fund  USD 9.78  0.07  0.71%   
MainStay Conservative ETF has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which conveys that the entity had -0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. MainStay Conservative exposes fifteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please verify MainStay Conservative ETF Mean Deviation of 0.337, standard deviation of 0.4349, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.044359) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
30 Days Market Risk
Chance of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
MainStay Conservative Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of MainStay daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use MainStay's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of MainStay Conservative volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as MainStay Conservative can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of MainStay Conservative at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase MainStay stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of MainStay Conservative's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with MainStay Mutual Fund

+0.86FKIQXFranklin IncomePairCorr
+0.95VWIAXVANGUARD WELLESLEY INCOMEPairCorr
+0.95VWINXVanguard Wellesley IncomePairCorr
+0.84BIICXBlackRock Incm PtfPairCorr
+0.85HBLAXTHE HARTFORD BALANCEDPairCorr
+0.87BCICXBlackRock Incm PtfPairCorr
+0.84BKMIXBlackRock Multi-AssetPairCorr
+0.85HBLTXTHE HARTFORD BALANCEDPairCorr
+0.86HBLCXTHE HARTFORD BALANCEDPairCorr

MainStay Conservative Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

MainStay Conservative's beta coefficient measures the volatility of MainStay mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents MainStay mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, MainStay Conservative's beta of 0.56 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk MainStay Conservative mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
MainStay Conservative ETF exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of -0.28. However, we advise investors to further study MainStay Conservative ETF technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MainStay Conservative's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MainStay Conservative's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze MainStay Conservative ETF Demand Trend
Check current 90 days MainStay Conservative correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

MainStay Beta

    
  0.56  
MainStay standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.43  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by MainStay Conservative's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of MainStay Conservative's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mainstay mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in MainStay Conservative.

MainStay Conservative ETF Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which MainStay Conservative fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with MainStay Conservative's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of MainStay Conservative's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of MainStay Conservative's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures MainStay Conservative's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict MainStay Conservative's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for MainStay Conservative's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on MainStay Conservative's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. MainStay Conservative ETF Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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MainStay Conservative Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon MainStay Conservative has a beta of 0.5632 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, MainStay Conservative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MainStay Conservative ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MainStay Conservative or New York Life Investment Management LLC sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MainStay Conservative's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MainStay fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. MainStay Conservative ETF is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
MainStay Conservative's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how mainstay mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a MainStay Conservative Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

MainStay Conservative Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MainStay Conservative or New York Life Investment Management LLC sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MainStay Conservative's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MainStay fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of MainStay Conservative is -839.85. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.18 and standard deviation of 0.43. The mean deviation of MainStay Conservative ETF is currently at 0.34. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.56
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

MainStay Conservative Mutual Fund Return Volatility

MainStay Conservative historical daily return volatility represents how much of MainStay Conservative fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.4284% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6192% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About MainStay Conservative Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of MainStay Conservative or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of MainStay Conservative may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to MainStay's beta indicator, it measures the risk of MainStay Conservative and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of MainStay Conservative fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

3 ways to utilize MainStay Conservative's volatility to invest better

Higher MainStay Conservative's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of MainStay Conservative ETF fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. MainStay Conservative ETF fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of MainStay Conservative ETF investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in MainStay Conservative's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of MainStay Conservative's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

MainStay Conservative Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.62 and is 1.44 times more volatile than MainStay Conservative ETF. of all equities and portfolios are less risky than MainStay Conservative. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of MainStay Conservative ETF is lower than 3 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use MainStay Conservative ETF to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The mutual fund experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of MainStay Conservative to be traded at $9.58 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between MainStay Conservative ETF and NYA is 0.8 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MainStay Conservative ETF and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

MainStay Conservative Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of MainStay Conservative's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MainStay Conservative's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of MainStay Conservative mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

MainStay Conservative Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against MainStay Conservative as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. MainStay Conservative's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, MainStay Conservative's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to MainStay Conservative ETF.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in MainStay Conservative ETF. Also, note that the market value of any Mutual Fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the MainStay Conservative ETF information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MainStay Conservative's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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When running MainStay Conservative's price analysis, check to measure MainStay Conservative's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MainStay Conservative is operating at the current time. Most of MainStay Conservative's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MainStay Conservative's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MainStay Conservative's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MainStay Conservative to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between MainStay Conservative's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MainStay Conservative is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MainStay Conservative's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.