Pro Blend Extended Term Fund Volatility

MNECX Fund  USD 18.55  0.07  0.38%   
Pro Blend Extended maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0331, which implies the entity had a -0.0331% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pro Blend Extended exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pro Blend's Coefficient Of Variation of (5,044), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Variance of 0.1681 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Pro Blend's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Pro Blend Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Pro daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Pro's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Pro Blend volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Pro Blend can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Pro Blend at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Pro stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Pro Blend's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Pro Mutual Fund

  1.0MNBAX Pro Blend ExtendedPairCorr
  1.0MNBIX Pro Blend ExtendedPairCorr
  0.9MNCRX Pro Blend ServativePairCorr
  0.94MNCWX Manning Napier ProPairCorr
  0.78MNDFX Disciplined Value SeriesPairCorr
  1.0MNBRX Pro Blend ExtendedPairCorr
  0.99MNBWX Manning Napier ProPairCorr
  0.87MNCCX Pro Blend ServativePairCorr

Pro Blend Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Pro Blend's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Pro mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Pro mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Pro Blend's beta of 0.54 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Pro Blend mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Pro Blend Extended Term exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.82 and kurtosis of 1.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pro Blend's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pro Blend's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Pro Blend Extended Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Pro Blend correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Pro Beta

    
  0.54  
Pro standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.41  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Pro Blend's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Pro Blend's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in pro mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Pro Blend.

Pro Blend Extended Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Pro Blend fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Pro Blend's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Pro Blend's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Pro Blend's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Pro Blend's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Pro Blend's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Pro Blend's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Pro Blend's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Pro Blend Extended Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Pro Blend Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Pro Blend has a beta of 0.5376 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Pro Blend average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pro Blend Extended Term will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pro Blend or Manning & Napier sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pro Blend's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pro fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Pro Blend Extended Term has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Pro Blend's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how pro mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Pro Blend Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Pro Blend Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Pro Blend is -3024.3. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.17 and standard deviation of 0.41. The mean deviation of Pro Blend Extended Term is currently at 0.29. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Pro Blend Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Pro Blend historical daily return volatility represents how much of Pro Blend fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.4124% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6214% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Pro Blend Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Pro Blend or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Pro Blend may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Pro's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Pro Blend and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Pro Blend fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund invests primarily in common stocks and long-term fixed income securities. It may invest in U.S. and foreign stocks, including those in emerging markets, ADRs, and derivative instruments. The fund may invest in stocks of small-, large-, or mid-size companies. It may buy and sell futures contracts based on fixed income securities, interest rates, and currencies, to seek to enhance returns, manage duration, hedge interest rate risk, and reduce volatility.
Pro Blend's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Pro Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Pro Blend's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Pro Blend's volatility to invest better

Higher Pro Blend's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Pro Blend Extended fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Pro Blend Extended fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Pro Blend Extended investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Pro Blend's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Pro Blend's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Pro Blend Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.62 and is 1.51 times more volatile than Pro Blend Extended Term. 3 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Pro Blend. You can use Pro Blend Extended Term to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Pro Blend to be traded at $18.36 in 90 days.

Very poor diversification

The correlation between Pro Blend Extended Term and NYA is 0.81 (i.e., Very poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Pro Blend Extended Term and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Pro Blend Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pro Blend's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pro Blend's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Pro Blend mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pro Blend Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Pro Blend as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Pro Blend's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Pro Blend's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Pro Blend Extended Term.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Pro Blend Extended Term. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Note that the Pro Blend Extended information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pro Blend's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pro Blend's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pro Blend is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pro Blend's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.