Marfrig Global Foods Stock Volatility

MRRTY Stock  USD 1.99  0.08  3.86%   
Marfrig Global appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Marfrig Global Foods has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0588, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0588% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Marfrig Global, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Marfrig Global's Mean Deviation of 2.61, risk adjusted performance of 0.0271, and Downside Deviation of 3.23 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Marfrig Global's volatility include:
60 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
60 Days Economic Sensitivity
Marfrig Global Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Marfrig daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Marfrig's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Marfrig Global volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Marfrig Global can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Marfrig Global at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Marfrig stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Marfrig Global's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Marfrig Pink Sheet

  0.66GIS General Mills Financial Report 26th of June 2024 PairCorr
  0.65MKC-V McCormick rporatedPairCorr

Moving against Marfrig Pink Sheet

  0.66GPDNF Danone SAPairCorr
  0.59NSRGF Nestle SAPairCorr

Marfrig Global Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Marfrig Global's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Marfrig pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Marfrig pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Marfrig Global's beta of 0.38 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Marfrig Global pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Marfrig Global Foods shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marfrig Global's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marfrig Global's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Marfrig Global Foods Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Marfrig Global correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Marfrig Beta

    
  0.38  
Marfrig standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.42  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Marfrig Global's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Marfrig Global's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in marfrig pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Marfrig Global.

Marfrig Global Foods Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Marfrig Global pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Marfrig Global's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Marfrig Global's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Marfrig Global's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Marfrig Global's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Marfrig Global's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Marfrig Global's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Marfrig Global's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Marfrig Global Foods Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Marfrig Global Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Marfrig Global has a beta of 0.3787 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marfrig Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marfrig Global Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marfrig Global or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marfrig Global's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marfrig pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Marfrig Global Foods has an alpha of 0.0745, implying that it can generate a 0.0745 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Marfrig Global's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how marfrig pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Marfrig Global Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Marfrig Global Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Marfrig Global is 1701.46. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 11.68 and standard deviation of 3.42. The mean deviation of Marfrig Global Foods is currently at 2.66. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.38
σ
Overall volatility
3.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Marfrig Global Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Marfrig Global historical daily return volatility represents how much of Marfrig Global pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 3.4181% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6219% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Marfrig Global Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Marfrig Global or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Marfrig Global may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Marfrig's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Marfrig Global and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Marfrig Global fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Marfrig Global Foods S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and food service industries in Brazil, the United States, Uruguay, and Argentina. Marfrig Global Foods S.A. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil. Marfrig Alimento operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 31779 people.
Marfrig Global's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Marfrig Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Marfrig Global's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Marfrig Global's volatility to invest better

Higher Marfrig Global's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Marfrig Global Foods stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Marfrig Global Foods stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Marfrig Global Foods investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Marfrig Global's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Marfrig Global's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Marfrig Global Investment Opportunity

Marfrig Global Foods has a volatility of 3.42 and is 5.52 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 30 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Marfrig Global. You can use Marfrig Global Foods to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Marfrig Global to be traded at $1.9104 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Marfrig Global Foods and NYA is 0.07 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Marfrig Global Foods and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Marfrig Global Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marfrig Global's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marfrig Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Marfrig Global pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Marfrig Global Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Marfrig Global as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Marfrig Global's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Marfrig Global's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Marfrig Global Foods.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Marfrig Global Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
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When running Marfrig Global's price analysis, check to measure Marfrig Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marfrig Global is operating at the current time. Most of Marfrig Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marfrig Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marfrig Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marfrig Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Marfrig Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marfrig Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marfrig Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.