Microstrategy Incorporated Stock Volatility

MSTR Stock  USD 1,339  14.63  1.10%   
MicroStrategy Incorporated is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. MicroStrategy Incorporated has Sharpe Ratio of 0.24, which conveys that the firm had a 0.24% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.07% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use MicroStrategy Incorporated Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1468, mean deviation of 6.43, and Downside Deviation of 7.36 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to MicroStrategy Incorporated's volatility include:
240 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
240 Days Economic Sensitivity
MicroStrategy Incorporated Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of MicroStrategy daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use MicroStrategy's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of MicroStrategy Incorporated volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as MicroStrategy Incorporated can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of MicroStrategy Incorporated at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase MicroStrategy stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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MicroStrategy Incorporated Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

MicroStrategy Incorporated's beta coefficient measures the volatility of MicroStrategy stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents MicroStrategy stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, MicroStrategy Incorporated's beta of 3.05 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk MicroStrategy Incorporated stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. MicroStrategy Incorporated is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze MicroStrategy Incorporated Demand Trend
Check current 90 days MicroStrategy Incorporated correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

MicroStrategy Beta

    
  3.05  
MicroStrategy standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  8.49  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by MicroStrategy Incorporated's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of MicroStrategy Incorporated's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in microstrategy stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in MicroStrategy Incorporated.

MicroStrategy Incorporated Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which MicroStrategy Incorporated stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with MicroStrategy Incorporated's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of MicroStrategy Incorporated's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures MicroStrategy Incorporated's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict MicroStrategy Incorporated's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for MicroStrategy Incorporated's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on MicroStrategy Incorporated's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. MicroStrategy Incorporated Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

MicroStrategy Incorporated Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.05 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MicroStrategy Incorporated will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MicroStrategy Incorporated or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MicroStrategy Incorporated's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MicroStrategy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
MicroStrategy Incorporated has an alpha of 1.6134, implying that it can generate a 1.61 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
MicroStrategy Incorporated's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how microstrategy stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a MicroStrategy Incorporated Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

MicroStrategy Incorporated Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of MicroStrategy Incorporated is 409.52. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 72.04 and standard deviation of 8.49. The mean deviation of MicroStrategy Incorporated is currently at 6.55. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.61
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.05
σ
Overall volatility
8.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

MicroStrategy Incorporated Stock Return Volatility

MicroStrategy Incorporated historical daily return volatility represents how much of MicroStrategy Incorporated stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise inherits 8.4876% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.637% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About MicroStrategy Incorporated Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of MicroStrategy Incorporated or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of MicroStrategy Incorporated may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to MicroStrategy's beta indicator, it measures the risk of MicroStrategy Incorporated and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of MicroStrategy Incorporated fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses149.7 M163.3 M
Market Cap1.4 B777.6 M
MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on MicroStrategy Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much MicroStrategy Incorporated's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize MicroStrategy Incorporated's volatility to invest better

Higher MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of MicroStrategy Incorporated stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. MicroStrategy Incorporated stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of MicroStrategy Incorporated investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

MicroStrategy Incorporated Investment Opportunity

MicroStrategy Incorporated has a volatility of 8.49 and is 13.27 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of MicroStrategy Incorporated is higher than 75 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use MicroStrategy Incorporated to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of MicroStrategy Incorporated to be traded at $1472.5 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between MicroStrategy Incorporated and NYA is 0.22 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MicroStrategy Incorporated and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

MicroStrategy Incorporated Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of MicroStrategy Incorporated's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MicroStrategy Incorporated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of MicroStrategy Incorporated stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

MicroStrategy Incorporated Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against MicroStrategy Incorporated as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. MicroStrategy Incorporated's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, MicroStrategy Incorporated's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to MicroStrategy Incorporated.
When determining whether MicroStrategy Incorporated is a strong investment it is important to analyze MicroStrategy Incorporated's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MicroStrategy Incorporated's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MicroStrategy Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in MicroStrategy Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in MicroStrategy Stock, please use our How to Invest in MicroStrategy Incorporated guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running MicroStrategy Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure MicroStrategy Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MicroStrategy Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of MicroStrategy Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MicroStrategy Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MicroStrategy Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MicroStrategy Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MicroStrategy Incorporated's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MicroStrategy Incorporated. If investors know MicroStrategy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MicroStrategy Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Earnings Share
26.48
Revenue Per Share
36.3
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of MicroStrategy Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MicroStrategy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MicroStrategy Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MicroStrategy Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MicroStrategy Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MicroStrategy Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MicroStrategy Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MicroStrategy Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MicroStrategy Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.