DREYFUS Mutual Fund Volatility

Mutual Funds USA . 
Fund . DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND
PTEBX Fund  USD 11.93  0.02  0.17%   
We consider DREYFUS MUNICIPAL very steady. DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which denotes the fund had 0.13% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our approach towards predicting the volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity. Please confirm DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND Coefficient Of Variation of 1779.24, mean deviation of 0.1634, and Downside Deviation of 0.2148 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0279%.
  
DREYFUS MUNICIPAL Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of DREYFUS daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use DREYFUS's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL volatility.

60 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Low

60 Days Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as DREYFUS MUNICIPAL can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase DREYFUS stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with DREYFUS MUNICIPAL

+1.0VWIUXVANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERPairCorr
+0.98VWITXVANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERPairCorr
+0.97TEBCXTAX EXEMPT BONDPairCorr
+0.98AFTEXTAX EXEMPT BONDPairCorr
+0.98TFEBXTAX EXEMPT BONDPairCorr
+0.98TEAFXTAX EXEMPT BONDPairCorr
+0.98AFTFXTAX EXEMPT BONDPairCorr
+0.96VTEAXVANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BONDPairCorr
+0.97MANLXBlackRock NationalPairCorr

DREYFUS MUNICIPAL Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's beta coefficient measures the volatility of DREYFUS mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents DREYFUS mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's beta of 0.0228 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk DREYFUS MUNICIPAL mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.0 and kurtosis of -0.04. However, we advise investors to further study DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND Demand Trend
Check current 90 days DREYFUS MUNICIPAL correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

DREYFUS Beta

    
  0.0228  
DREYFUS standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.21  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in dreyfus mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in DREYFUS MUNICIPAL.

DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which DREYFUS MUNICIPAL fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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DREYFUS MUNICIPAL Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon DREYFUS MUNICIPAL has a beta of 0.0228 indicating as returns on the market go up, DREYFUS MUNICIPAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to DREYFUS MUNICIPAL or BNY Mellon sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DREYFUS fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.0026, implying that it can generate a 0.0026 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how dreyfus mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a DREYFUS MUNICIPAL Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

DREYFUS MUNICIPAL Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to DREYFUS MUNICIPAL or BNY Mellon sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that DREYFUS MUNICIPAL's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DREYFUS fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL is 744.12. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.04 and standard deviation of 0.21. The mean deviation of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL BOND is currently at 0.17. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.95
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite		0.0026
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0228
σ
Overall volatility		0.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

DREYFUS MUNICIPAL Mutual Fund Return Volatility

DREYFUS MUNICIPAL historical daily return volatility represents how much of DREYFUS MUNICIPAL fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.2078% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.9578% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  
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