Renren Inc Volatility

RENNDelisted Stock  USD 1.17  0.03  2.50%   
We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Renren Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Renren's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0601, semi deviation of 4.17, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1230.6 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Renren's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
Renren Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Renren daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Renren's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Renren volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Renren can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Renren at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Renren stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Renren's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving against Renren Stock

  0.48MMM 3M Company Sell-off TrendPairCorr

Renren Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Renren's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Renren stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Renren stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Renren's beta of 0.64 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Renren stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Renren Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Renren Inc is a potential penny stock. Although Renren may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Renren Inc. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Renren instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny delisted stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Renren Inc Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Renren correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Renren Beta

    
  0.64  
Renren standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.0  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Renren's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Renren's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in renren stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Renren.

Renren Inc Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Renren delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Renren's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Renren's stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Renren's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of delisted stock volatility measures Renren's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Renren's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Renren's current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Renren's to be redeemed at a future date.
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Renren Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Renren has a beta of 0.6395 indicating as returns on the market go up, Renren average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Renren Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Renren or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Renren's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Renren delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Renren Inc has an alpha of 0.4008, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Renren's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how renren stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Renren Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Renren Stock Return Volatility

Renren historical daily return volatility represents how much of Renren delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6219% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Renren Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Renren or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Renren may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Renren's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Renren and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Renren fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Renren Inc. engages in the software as a service business in the Peoples Republic of China. Renren Inc. was founded in 2002 and is based in Beijing, the Peoples Republic of China. Renren Inc operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 409 people.
Renren's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Renren Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Renren's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Renren's volatility to invest better

Higher Renren's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Renren Inc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Renren Inc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Renren Inc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Renren's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Renren's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Renren Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.62 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Renren Inc. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Renren. You can use Renren Inc to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Renren to be traded at $1.1232 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Renren Inc and NYA is 0.07 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Renren Inc and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Renren Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Renren's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Renren's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Renren stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Renren Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Renren as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Renren's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Renren's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Renren Inc.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Other Consideration for investing in Renren Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Renren Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Renren's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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