Safeguard Scientifics Common Volatility

SFEDelisted Stock  USD 0.46  0.19  29.23%   
Safeguard Scientifics owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.37, which indicates the firm had a -0.37% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Safeguard Scientifics Common exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Safeguard Scientifics' Semi Deviation of 5.34, risk adjusted performance of 0.0341, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2501.19 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Safeguard Scientifics' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Safeguard Scientifics Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Safeguard daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Safeguard's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Safeguard Scientifics volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Safeguard Scientifics can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Safeguard Scientifics at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Safeguard stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Safeguard Scientifics' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Safeguard Scientifics Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Safeguard Scientifics' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Safeguard stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Safeguard stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Safeguard Scientifics's beta of 0.91 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Safeguard Scientifics stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Safeguard Scientifics Common is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Safeguard Scientifics Common is a potential penny stock. Although Safeguard Scientifics may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Safeguard Scientifics Common. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Safeguard instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny delisted stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Safeguard Scientifics Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Safeguard Scientifics correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Safeguard Beta

    
  0.91  
Safeguard standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  9.56  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Safeguard Scientifics's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Safeguard Scientifics' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in safeguard stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Safeguard Scientifics.

Safeguard Scientifics Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Safeguard Scientifics delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Safeguard Scientifics' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Safeguard Scientifics' stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Safeguard Scientifics' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of delisted stock volatility measures Safeguard Scientifics' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Safeguard Scientifics' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Safeguard Scientifics' current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Safeguard Scientifics' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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Safeguard Scientifics Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Safeguard Scientifics has a beta of 0.9067 . This usually implies Safeguard Scientifics Common market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Safeguard Scientifics is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Safeguard Scientifics or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Safeguard Scientifics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Safeguard delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Safeguard Scientifics Common has an alpha of 0.2309, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Safeguard Scientifics' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how safeguard stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Safeguard Scientifics Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Safeguard Scientifics Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Safeguard Scientifics is -273.27. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 91.37 and standard deviation of 9.56. The mean deviation of Safeguard Scientifics Common is currently at 6.55. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.91
σ
Overall volatility
9.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Safeguard Scientifics Stock Return Volatility

Safeguard Scientifics historical daily return volatility represents how much of Safeguard Scientifics delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 9.5588% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Safeguard Scientifics Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Safeguard Scientifics or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Safeguard Scientifics may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Safeguard's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Safeguard Scientifics and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Safeguard Scientifics fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
It is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in expansion financings, growth capital, management buyouts, recapitalizations, industry consolidations, corporate spinouts, growth stage, and early stage financings. Safeguard Scientifics, Inc. is based in Radnor, Pennsylvania with additional office in Weston, Massachusetts. Safeguard Scientifics operates under Asset Management classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange.
Safeguard Scientifics' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Safeguard Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Safeguard Scientifics' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Safeguard Scientifics' volatility to invest better

Higher Safeguard Scientifics' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Safeguard Scientifics stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Safeguard Scientifics stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Safeguard Scientifics investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Safeguard Scientifics' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Safeguard Scientifics' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Safeguard Scientifics Investment Opportunity

Safeguard Scientifics Common has a volatility of 9.56 and is 14.94 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Safeguard Scientifics Common is higher than 84 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Safeguard Scientifics Common to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Safeguard Scientifics to be traded at $0.437 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between Safeguard Scientifics Common and NYA is 0.07 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Safeguard Scientifics Common and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Safeguard Scientifics Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Safeguard Scientifics' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Safeguard Scientifics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Safeguard Scientifics stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Safeguard Scientifics Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Safeguard Scientifics as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Safeguard Scientifics' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Safeguard Scientifics' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Safeguard Scientifics Common.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Note that the Safeguard Scientifics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Safeguard Scientifics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Safeguard Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Safeguard Scientifics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Safeguard Scientifics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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