Saratoga Mutual Fund Volatility

SSCYX
 Fund
  

USD 6.54  0.07  1.08%   

Saratoga Small appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Saratoga Small Capit owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the fund had 0.13% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Saratoga Small Capitalization, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the fund. Please review Saratoga Small's Coefficient Of Variation of 957.0, risk adjusted performance of 0.1326, and Semi Deviation of 1.69 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
  
Saratoga Small Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Saratoga daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Saratoga's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Saratoga Small volatility.

30 Days Market Risk

Somewhat reliable

Chance of Distress

Below Average

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market moves
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Saratoga Small can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Saratoga Small at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Saratoga stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Saratoga Small's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Saratoga Small

0.65VSGAXVanguard Small-Cap GrowthPairCorr
0.73VISGXVanguard Index TrustPairCorr
0.65VSGIXVanguard Small-Cap GrowthPairCorr
0.69VEXRXVanguard ExplorerPairCorr
0.69VEXPXVanguard ExplorerPairCorr
0.73JATTXJanus Henderson TritonPairCorr

Moving against Saratoga Small

0.57JNJJohnson JohnsonPairCorr

Saratoga Small Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Saratoga Small's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Saratoga mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Saratoga mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Saratoga Small's beta of -0.0862 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Saratoga Small mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Saratoga Small Capitalization has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.54 and kurtosis of 0.64. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Saratoga Small Capitalization to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Saratoga Small's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Saratoga Small's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Saratoga Small Capit Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Saratoga Small correlation with market (DOW)

Saratoga Beta

    
  -0.0862  
Saratoga standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.75  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Saratoga Small's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Saratoga Small's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in saratoga mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Saratoga Small.

Saratoga Small Capit Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Saratoga Small fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Saratoga Small's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Saratoga Small's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Saratoga Small's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Saratoga Small's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Saratoga Small's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Saratoga Small's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Saratoga Small Capit Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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Saratoga Small Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Saratoga Small Capitalization has a beta of -0.0862 . This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Saratoga Small are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Saratoga Small Capitalization is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saratoga Small or Saratoga sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saratoga Small's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saratoga fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.1904, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Saratoga Small's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how saratoga mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Saratoga Small Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Fund's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Saratoga Small Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saratoga Small or Saratoga sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saratoga Small's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saratoga fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Saratoga Small is 749.42. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.05 and standard deviation of 1.75. The mean deviation of Saratoga Small Capitalization is currently at 1.36. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.24
α
Alpha over DOW
0.19
β
Beta against DOW-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Saratoga Small Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Saratoga Small historical daily return volatility represents how much of Saratoga Small fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 1.7473% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, DOW inherits 1.1805% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About Saratoga Small Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Saratoga Small or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Saratoga Small may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Saratoga's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Saratoga Small and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Saratoga Small fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund will normally invest at least 80 percent of its total assets in common stocks of companies whose stock market capitalizations fall within the range of capitalizations in the Russell 2000 Index. Saratoga Small is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Saratoga Small Investment Opportunity

Saratoga Small Capitalization has a volatility of 1.75 and is 1.48 times more volatile than DOW. 15  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Saratoga Small. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Saratoga Small Capitalization is lower than 15 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.
Use Saratoga Small Capitalization to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The mutual fund experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Saratoga Small to be traded at $7.19 in 90 days. .

Good diversification

The correlation between Saratoga Small Capitalization and DJI is Good diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Saratoga Small Capitalization and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Saratoga Small Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Saratoga Small's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Saratoga Small's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Saratoga Small mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1326
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(2.12)
Mean Deviation1.44
Semi Deviation1.69
Downside Deviation1.99
Coefficient Of Variation957.0
Standard Deviation1.85
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Saratoga Small Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Saratoga Small as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Saratoga Small's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Saratoga Small's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Saratoga Small Capitalization.
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. Note that the Saratoga Small Capit information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Saratoga Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running Saratoga Small Capit price analysis, check to measure Saratoga Small's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saratoga Small is operating at the current time. Most of Saratoga Small's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saratoga Small's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saratoga Small's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saratoga Small to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Saratoga Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Saratoga Small value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saratoga Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.